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Süper Lig
Referee: M Kalkavan
Ümraniyespor
T T T S U
1–2
Full-time
Ankaragücü
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ümraniyespor Ankaragücü
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 33/32 matches
Win Ø 26%
21%
31%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
61%
53%
Both score Ø 63%
67%
59%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 9
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ümraniyespor 17. · Ankaragücü 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 33 25 4 4 +47 79
2 Fenerbahce 33 23 5 5 +43 74
3 Besiktas 33 21 8 4 +36 71
4 Ad. Demirspor 32 18 9 5 +32 63
5 Buyuksehyr 32 15 7 10 +11 52
6 Konyaspor 33 12 13 8 +9 49
7 Kayserispor 33 15 4 14 -3 49
8 Trabzonspor 32 14 6 12 +3 48
9 Karagumruk 32 11 11 10 +10 44
10 Alanyaspor 34 11 8 15 -10 41
11 Kasimpasa 33 11 7 15 -12 40
12 Antalyaspor 32 10 7 15 -8 37
13 Sivasspor 34 10 7 17 -9 37
14 Ankaragücü 32 10 6 16 -8 36
15 İstanbulspor 33 10 5 18 -21 35
16 Giresunspor 33 8 10 15 -19 34
17 Ümraniyespor 33 7 9 17 -11 30
18 Gaziantep 34 6 7 21 -35 25
19 Hatayspor 33 6 5 22 -55 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ümraniyespor Ankaragücü
7′
🟨 Stelios Kitsiou
Tomislav Glumac 🟨
8′
18′
K. Malcuit 0–1
G. Beridze
20′
🟨 Arda Kızıldağ
Onur Ayık ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
24′
1–1 U. Nayir
26′
31′
ℹ️ Milson
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 1–1
O. Gürbulak 🔁
↦ T. Glumac
46′
46′
🔁 L. Diack
↦ T. Antalyalı
F. Şanlitürk 🔁
↦ S. Göksu
57′
62′
🔁 G. Zahid
↦ G. Beridze
Geraldo 🔁
↦ I. Sackey
66′
71′
Milson 1–2
A. Kızıldağ
72′
🔁 Pedrinho
↦ S. Kitsiou
Oğuz Gürbulak 🟨
76′
M. Yılmaz 🔁
↦ V. Gheorghe
80′
84′
🔁 A. Çankaya
↦ A. Đokanović
85′
🔁 G. Töre
↦ Milson
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ümraniyespor

4-3-3
35 B. Özer G
90 S. Popov D
44 T. Glumac D
24 A. Epureanu D
4 M. Eser D
8 S. Göksu M
5 I. Sackey M
7 V. Gheorghe M
11 O. Ayık F
18 U. Nayir F
77 J. Sekidika F
Bench (10)
20 O. Gürbulak
23 F. Şanlitürk
29 Geraldo
2 M. Yılmaz
78 O. Erdoğan
53 D. Saral
34 A. Demir
70 Y. Saitoğlu
99 O. Yıldırım
6 Y. Mertoğlu

Coach: M. Er

Ankaragücü

3-4-2-1
32 G. Akkan G
24 K. Malcuit D
37 A. Kızıldağ D
18 N. Mujakić D
17 S. Kitsiou M
16 A. Đokanović M
48 T. Antalyalı M
5 M. Hanousek M
70 Milson F
21 G. Beridze F
22 A. Sowe F
Bench (10)
14 L. Diack
19 G. Zahid
8 Pedrinho
4 A. Çankaya
77 G. Töre
80 S. İmdat
33 H. Kaldırım
29 B. Moussiti-Oko
88 F. Üzüm
99 B. Güngördü

Coach: T. Kafkas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,50
U
3,60
B ✓
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,27
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Kalkavan · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.