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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: E Bodding
Jerv
T T T U U
1–1
Full-time
Kristiansund
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jerv Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 41%
25%
57%
Points per game
1,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
75%
57%
Both score Ø 73%
88%
57%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jerv 12. · Kristiansund 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sogndal 8 5 2 1 +4 17
2 Fredrikstad 8 3 5 0 +3 14
3 Ranheim 8 4 2 2 -1 14
4 Start 8 3 4 1 +7 13
5 Moss 8 3 4 1 +2 13
6 Kristiansund 7 4 1 2 +1 13
7 Kongsvinger 8 4 0 4 +1 12
8 Sandnes ULF 9 2 4 3 +2 10
9 hodd 8 2 4 2 +1 10
10 Bryne 8 2 4 2 -1 10
11 Raufoss 8 2 3 3 +1 9
12 Jerv 8 2 2 4 -2 8
13 Mjondalen 8 2 2 4 -2 8
14 KFUM Oslo 8 1 4 3 -4 7
15 Skeid 8 1 3 4 -8 6
16 Asane 8 0 4 4 -4 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jerv Kristiansund
M. Wichmann 🟨
10′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 S. Jarl
↦ A. Coly
52′
M. Mawa 0–1
E. Grønner 🔁
↦ J. Cijntje
63′
67′
🔁 M. Ceïde
↦ S. Jarl
67′
🔁 O. Sivertsen
↦ M. Mawa
1–1 A. Mutsinzi
71′
M. Ugland 🔁
↦ A. Richstad
77′
79′
🔁 J. Isaksen
↦ M. Broholm
H. Bredeli 🔁
↦ T. Wichne
89′
90′
🟨 O. Sivertsen
93′
🔁 L. Alvheim
↦ T. Gjertsen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Jerv

20 Ø. Øvretveit
19 I. Mafi
5 E. Sandberg
2 T. Wichne
4 A. Mutsinzi
3 L. Larade
6 M. Wichmann
18 A. Richstad
21 S. Auklend
30 J. Cijntje
11 Samuel Pedro
Bench (6)
28 E. Grønner
8 M. Ugland
22 H. Bredeli
1 A. Olsvoll
16 H. Krogelien
88 E. Duesund

Coach: A. Sandstø

Kristiansund

1 S. McDermott
5 D. Ulvestad
6 A. Hopmark
19 A. Coly
26 M. Williamsen
8 S. Kartum
21 M. Broholm
9 B. Stokke
7 T. Gjertsen
11 M. Mawa
15 M. Rakneberg
Bench (8)
18 S. Jarl
16 M. Ceïde
37 O. Sivertsen
14 J. Isaksen
31 L. Alvheim
12 A. Sæther
24 D. Agbo
29 M. Weidel

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.