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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

Charleroi

U S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Kortrijk

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Kortrijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 25%

28%

21%

Points per game

1,1

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

52%

55%

Both score Ø 47%

59%

34%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,21 xG 0,68

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 9. · Kortrijk 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	27	18	5	4	+46	+35.7	59
2	St. Gilloise	27	18	4	5	+29	+28.8	58
3	Anderlecht	27	16	7	4	+24	+13.8	55
4	Cercle Brugge	27	16	5	6	+22	+7.8	53
5	Gent	26	14	7	5	+25	+17.5	49
6	Genk	26	12	8	6	+13	+25.5	44
7	Mechelen	27	12	6	9	+5	+2.4	42
8	Antwerp	27	11	7	9	+17	+15.8	40
9	Charleroi	29	8	8	13	-17	-12.1	32
10	St Truiden	27	7	9	11	-16	-13.3	30
11	Westerlo	28	6	9	13	-8	-11.9	27
12	Standard	28	5	12	11	-16	-12.6	27
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	27	6	8	13	-14	-8.3	26
14	RWD Molenbeek	29	6	7	16	-34	-33.1	25
15	Kortrijk	29	6	5	18	-35	-23.4	23
16	Eupen	29	4	3	22	-41	-32.6	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	13	11	1	1	+18	+10.5	34
2	Club Brugge	13	10	3	0	+30	+20.0	33
3	Cercle Brugge	14	9	3	2	+19	+7.6	30
4	St. Gilloise	14	9	3	2	+17	+14.8	30
5	Gent	13	8	4	1	+18	+12.0	28
6	Genk	13	7	4	2	+11	+17.8	25
7	Mechelen	14	7	4	3	+10	+7.7	25
8	Antwerp	13	6	3	4	+16	+14.0	21
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	6	3	5	+5	-1.5	21
10	St Truiden	13	5	4	4	-3	-0.1	19
11	Standard	14	4	5	5	-2	+2.0	17
12	Charleroi	14	4	5	5	-5	+1.0	17
13	Westerlo	14	4	4	6	-4	-3.7	16
14	RWD Molenbeek	15	4	4	7	-13	-13.5	16
15	Kortrijk	15	3	3	9	-13	-7.4	12
16	Eupen	14	3	2	9	-14	-11.9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	9	1	3	+12	+14.0	28
2	Club Brugge	14	8	2	4	+16	+15.7	26
3	Cercle Brugge	13	7	2	4	+3	+0.2	23
4	Gent	13	6	3	4	+7	+5.5	21
5	Anderlecht	14	5	6	3	+6	+3.2	21
6	Genk	13	5	4	4	+2	+7.7	19
7	Antwerp	14	5	4	5	+1	+1.8	19
8	Mechelen	13	5	2	6	-5	-5.3	17
9	Charleroi	15	4	3	8	-12	-13.0	15
10	Westerlo	14	2	5	7	-4	-8.1	11
11	St Truiden	14	2	5	7	-13	-13.3	11
12	Kortrijk	14	3	2	9	-22	-16.0	11
13	Standard	14	1	7	6	-14	-14.6	10
14	RWD Molenbeek	14	2	3	9	-21	-19.6	9
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	0	5	8	-19	-6.8	5
16	Eupen	15	1	1	13	-27	-20.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.