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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Livingston
T U T S T
2–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 16%
11%
20%
Points per game
0,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
46%
34%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 25
8 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 8
12 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 12. · ST Johnstone 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 36 27 6 3 +59 87
2 Rangers 36 26 3 7 +52 81
3 Hearts 35 19 6 10 +9 63
4 Kilmarnock 35 13 13 9 +6 52
5 St Mirren 35 13 7 15 -4 46
6 Hibernian 35 10 12 13 -6 42
7 Aberdeen 35 10 11 14 -12 41
8 Dundee 35 10 11 14 -13 41
9 Motherwell 35 9 13 13 -3 40
10 Ross County 35 8 9 18 -25 33
11 ST Johnstone 35 7 10 18 -25 31
12 Livingston 35 4 9 22 -38 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Mar -24 ST Johnstone – Livingston 1–1 27. Dec -23 Livingston – ST Johnstone 0–0 30. Sep -23 ST Johnstone – Livingston 1–1 28. May -23 ST Johnstone – Livingston 2–0 15. Apr -23 Livingston – ST Johnstone 2–0

Match report

Livingston ST Johnstone
8′
⚽ A. Sidibeh 0–1
S. May
45′
🟨 Stevie May
Half-time 0–1
D. Mackay 🔁
↦ T. Yengi
67′
S. Bradley 🔁
↦ S. Pittman
67′
1–1 C. Montaño ⚽
S. Kelly
72′
75′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ S. May
A. Shinnie 🔁
↦ M. Nottingham
79′
79′
🔁 B. Mbunga Kimpioka
↦ A. Sidibeh
Jamie Brandon 🟨
84′
A. Obileye 🔁
↦ C. Montaño
86′
87′
🔁 D. Jaiyesimi
↦ D. Phillips
87′
🔁 C. Smith
↦ C. MacPherson
Joel Nouble 🟨
91′
2–1 A. Shinnie ⚽
S. Bradley
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 S. George G
21 M. Nottingham D
5 M. Devlin D
24 S. Kelly D
3 C. Montaño D
8 S. Pittman M
12 J. Brandon M
19 J. Nouble M
10 S. Kelly M
33 T. Yengi M
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
11 D. Mackay
16 S. Bradley
22 A. Shinnie
6 A. Obileye
4 D. Carson
28 K. Guthrie
37 T. Sharp
23 K. Wright
20 M. Sangare

Coach: D. Martindale

ST Johnstone

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov G
14 D. Wright D
5 R. McGowan D
6 L. Gordon D
33 D. Keltjens D
34 D. Phillips M
8 C. MacPherson M
11 G. Carey M
10 N. Clark M
7 S. May M
16 A. Sidibeh F
Bench (9)
22 M. Smith
29 B. Mbunga Kimpioka
13 D. Jaiyesimi
50 C. Smith
15 M. Kucheriavyi
46 F. Franczak
31 D. Richards
17 O. Olufunwa
4 A. Considine

Coach: C. Levein

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,83
🔒
U
3,07
🔒
B
2,63
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,31
🔒
U2,5
1,59
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.