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2. Bundesliga

Referee: S Jablonski

Holstein Kiel

S S S T S

1–1

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 58%

63%

53%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

59%

Average goals

3,1

3,3

Scored

1,9

2,1

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%

8 Shots 19

2 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 13

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 1. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	32	20	4	8	+25	64
2	St Pauli	32	18	9	5	+23	63
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	32	17	8	7	+31	59
4	Hamburg	33	16	7	10	+17	55
5	Karlsruhe	32	14	10	8	+18	52
6	Hannover	32	12	13	7	+15	49
7	Paderborn	33	14	7	12	-1	49
8	Hertha	33	13	9	11	+11	48
9	Greuther Furth	33	13	8	12	-1	47
10	Schalke 04	33	12	7	14	-5	43
11	Elversberg	33	12	7	14	-11	43
12	Nurnberg	33	11	7	15	-18	40
13	Magdeburg	33	9	11	13	-7	38
14	Kaiserslautern	33	10	6	17	-10	36
15	Braunschweig	32	10	5	17	-12	35
16	Wehen	32	8	8	16	-12	32
17	Hansa Rostock	33	9	4	20	-26	31
18	Osnabruck	32	5	10	17	-37	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	16	10	5	1	+18	35
2	Hamburg	16	11	0	5	+14	33
3	Karlsruhe	16	9	5	2	+18	32
4	Greuther Furth	16	9	4	3	+11	31
5	Schalke 04	17	9	4	4	+10	31
6	Hertha	17	8	6	3	+21	30
7	Hannover	16	8	6	2	+16	30
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	9	3	4	+10	30
9	Holstein Kiel	16	9	1	6	+7	28
10	Paderborn	17	7	4	6	+1	25
11	Magdeburg	17	6	6	5	+4	24
12	Kaiserslautern	16	7	2	7	+0	23
13	Braunschweig	16	6	4	6	-1	22
14	Elversberg	16	6	4	6	-2	22
15	Nurnberg	17	6	4	7	-6	22
16	Hansa Rostock	16	6	2	8	-6	20
17	Wehen	16	4	5	7	-6	17
18	Osnabruck	16	3	5	8	-14	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	16	11	3	2	+18	36
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	8	5	3	+21	29
3	St Pauli	16	8	4	4	+5	28
4	Paderborn	16	7	3	6	-2	24
5	Hamburg	17	5	7	5	+3	22
6	Elversberg	17	6	3	8	-9	21
7	Karlsruhe	16	5	5	6	+0	20
8	Hannover	16	4	7	5	-1	19
9	Hertha	16	5	3	8	-10	18
10	Nurnberg	16	5	3	8	-12	18
11	Greuther Furth	17	4	4	9	-12	16
12	Wehen	16	4	3	9	-6	15
13	Magdeburg	16	3	5	8	-11	14
14	Kaiserslautern	17	3	4	10	-10	13
15	Braunschweig	16	4	1	11	-11	13
16	Schalke 04	16	3	3	10	-15	12
17	Hansa Rostock	17	3	2	12	-20	11
18	Osnabruck	16	2	5	9	-23	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.