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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

St Truiden

U T S T T

2–1

Full-time

Charleroi

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Pro League · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 39%

27%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

36%

58%

Both score Ø 47%

36%

58%

Average goals

1,9

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

10 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 11. · Charleroi 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	11	10	0	1	+15	30
2	Genk	10	9	1	0	+19	28
3	Club Brugge	11	7	1	3	+11	22
4	St. Gilloise	9	7	1	1	+7	22
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	6	2	3	+3	20
6	Anderlecht	12	6	1	5	+9	19
7	Charleroi	12	6	0	6	+0	18
8	Standard	9	5	0	4	-1	15
9	Westerlo	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Gent	8	4	1	3	+6	13
11	St Truiden	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Kortrijk	13	4	1	8	-10	13
13	Oostende	12	3	3	6	-4	12
14	Mechelen	12	3	2	7	-5	11
15	Seraing	12	3	2	7	-8	11
16	Seraing United	12	3	2	7	-8	11
17	Waregem	13	3	2	8	-12	11
18	Eupen	12	3	0	9	-13	9
19	Cercle Brugge	8	1	3	4	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	6	6	0	0	+10	18
2	Genk	6	5	1	0	+7	16
3	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	+7	13
4	St. Gilloise	4	4	0	0	+4	12
5	Club Brugge	5	3	1	1	+6	10
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	3	0	2	-2	9
7	Westerlo	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Mechelen	7	2	1	4	-2	7
9	Cercle Brugge	5	1	3	1	-1	6
10	Standard	5	2	0	3	-2	6
11	Oostende	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Charleroi	6	2	0	4	-3	6
13	Waregem	7	2	0	5	-9	6
14	Gent	3	1	1	1	+1	4
15	St Truiden	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Kortrijk	6	1	1	4	-7	4
17	Eupen	7	1	0	6	-10	3
18	Seraing	5	0	1	4	-8	1
19	Seraing United	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Club Brugge	6	4	0	2	+5	12
3	Antwerp	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Charleroi	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	St. Gilloise	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Seraing	7	3	1	3	+0	10
8	Seraing United	7	3	1	3	+0	10
9	Gent	5	3	0	2	+5	9
10	St Truiden	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Standard	4	3	0	1	+1	9
12	Kortrijk	7	3	0	4	-3	9
13	Anderlecht	5	2	0	3	+2	6
14	Oostende	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Westerlo	5	2	0	3	-3	6
16	Eupen	5	2	0	3	-3	6
17	Waregem	6	1	2	3	-3	5
18	Mechelen	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Cercle Brugge	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.