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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Bacher
Hamburg
U U S S S
2–2
Full-time
Hannover
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 47%
47%
47%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
74%
47%
Both score Ø 58%
74%
42%
Average goals
3,6
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%
19 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Hannover 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Koln 20 11 4 5 +10 37
2 Magdeburg 20 9 8 3 +12 35
3 Hamburg 19 9 7 3 +18 34
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 20 9 6 5 +7 33
5 Kaiserslautern 19 9 5 5 +6 32
6 Hannover 19 9 4 6 +6 31
7 Paderborn 19 8 7 4 +5 31
8 Karlsruhe 20 8 6 6 +1 30
9 Elversberg 20 8 5 7 +5 29
10 Nurnberg 20 8 4 8 +1 28
11 Darmstadt 20 6 7 7 +5 25
12 Hertha 20 7 4 9 -2 25
13 Schalke 04 20 6 6 8 -2 24
14 Preußen Münster 19 4 8 7 -4 20
15 Greuther Furth 19 5 5 9 -12 20
16 Ulm 20 3 8 9 -2 17
17 Braunschweig 20 3 6 11 -21 15
18 Regensburg 20 4 2 14 -33 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Hannover
1–0 S. Hefti
J. Dompé
15′
39′
🟨 Bartłomiej Wdowik
42′
🟨 Marcel Halstenberg
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Matondo
↦ B. Wdowik
52′
N. Tresoldi 1–1
L. Reis 🔁
↦ M. Richter
66′
S. Schonlau 🔁
↦ D. Hadžikadunić
66′
Jonas Meffert 🟨
70′
O. Stange 🔁
↦ R. Königsdörffer
75′
75′
🔁 L. Gindorf
↦ H. Nielsen
79′
R. Matondo 1–2
M. Halstenberg
2–2 J. Dompé
84′
Ł. Poręba 🔁
↦ A. Karabec
85′
D. Mebude 🔁
↦ E. Sahiti
85′
Ludovit Reis 🟨
86′
88′
🔁 M. Momuluh
↦ J. Rochelt
88′
🔁 M. Christiansen
↦ E. Leopold
Adedire Mebude 🟨
90′
Daniel Elfadli 🟨
91′
92′
🔁 A. Voglsammer
↦ N. Tresoldi
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
2 W. Mikelbrencis D
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
8 Daniel Elfadli D
30 S. Hefti D
17 A. Karabec M
23 J. Meffert M
20 M. Richter M
29 E. Sahiti F
11 R. Königsdörffer F
7 J. Dompé F
Bench (9)
14 L. Reis
4 S. Schonlau
49 O. Stange
6 Ł. Poręba
16 D. Mebude
12 T. Mickel
47 N. Oliveira
39 J. Agyekum
40 H. Hermann

Coach: M. Polzin

Hannover

3-5-2
1 R. Zieler G
5 P. Neumann D
3 B. Tomiak D
23 M. Halstenberg D
20 J. Dehm M
8 E. Leopold M
6 F. Kunze M
10 J. Rochelt M
17 B. Wdowik M
16 H. Nielsen F
9 N. Tresoldi F
Bench (9)
40 R. Matondo
25 L. Gindorf
38 M. Momuluh
13 M. Christiansen
32 A. Voglsammer
30 L. Weinkauf
37 B. Ezeh
2 J. Knight
11 Lee Hyun-Ju

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U ✓
3,65
B
3,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,15
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bacher · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.