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Serie B

Referee: G Scatena

Carrarese

U S T T T

1–2

Full-time

Brescia

U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 26%

30%

22%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

35%

43%

Both score Ø 48%

35%

61%

Average goals

2,1

2,7

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

59% Possession 41%

12 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Carrarese 14. · Brescia 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	24	17	4	3	+28	55
2	Pisa	24	15	6	3	+18	51
3	Spezia	24	13	9	2	+23	48
4	Cremonese	23	10	7	6	+10	37
5	Catanzaro	24	7	14	3	+7	35
6	Juve Stabia	24	8	9	7	-3	33
7	Bari	23	6	12	5	+4	30
8	Palermo	24	8	6	10	+2	30
9	Modena	24	6	12	6	+1	30
10	Cesena	24	8	6	10	-2	30
11	Reggiana	23	7	7	9	-2	28
12	Mantova	24	6	10	8	-5	28
13	Cittadella	24	7	7	10	-14	28
14	Carrarese	23	7	6	10	-8	27
15	Brescia	23	5	10	8	-4	25
16	Sampdoria	24	5	10	9	-7	25
17	Cosenza	24	4	10	10	-8	22
18	Sudtirol	23	6	4	13	-13	22
19	Salernitana	23	5	6	12	-11	21
20	Frosinone	23	4	9	10	-16	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	12	10	1	1	+20	31
2	Pisa	12	9	3	0	+15	30
3	Spezia	11	8	3	0	+15	27
4	Cesena	12	6	4	2	+6	22
5	Catanzaro	13	5	6	2	+7	21
6	Carrarese	11	6	3	2	+4	21
7	Modena	12	5	5	2	+6	20
8	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+3	19
9	Palermo	12	5	3	4	+4	18
10	Bari	12	4	6	2	+3	18
11	Juve Stabia	11	5	3	3	+0	18
12	Cremonese	12	4	5	3	+0	17
13	Reggiana	12	4	4	4	+0	16
14	Salernitana	12	4	3	5	-1	15
15	Brescia	12	3	5	4	+0	14
16	Sampdoria	12	3	4	5	-2	13
17	Cittadella	12	2	6	4	-3	12
18	Cosenza	12	2	6	4	-3	12
19	Frosinone	12	2	5	5	-8	11
20	Sudtirol	11	2	3	6	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	12	7	3	2	+8	24
2	Spezia	13	5	6	2	+8	21
3	Pisa	12	6	3	3	+3	21
4	Cremonese	11	6	2	3	+10	20
5	Cittadella	12	5	1	6	-11	16
6	Juve Stabia	13	3	6	4	-3	15
7	Catanzaro	11	2	8	1	+0	14
8	Sudtirol	12	4	1	7	-5	13
9	Bari	11	2	6	3	+1	12
10	Palermo	12	3	3	6	-2	12
11	Reggiana	11	3	3	5	-2	12
12	Sampdoria	12	2	6	4	-5	12
13	Brescia	11	2	5	4	-4	11
14	Cosenza	12	2	4	6	-5	10
15	Modena	12	1	7	4	-5	10
16	Frosinone	11	2	4	5	-8	10
17	Mantova	13	1	6	6	-8	9
18	Cesena	12	2	2	8	-8	8
19	Salernitana	11	1	3	7	-10	6
20	Carrarese	12	1	3	8	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.