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Pro League

Referee: Jan Boterberg

Dender

T U S T S

2–2

Full-time

Westerlo

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Westerlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 12/10 matches

Win Ø 14%

20%

Points per game

0,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

58%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,4

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,9

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,73 xG 3,44

45% Possession 55%

8 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dender 16. · Westerlo 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	2	0	+19	+15.3	26
2	Club Brugge	10	8	1	1	+8	+3.2	25
3	St Truiden	10	6	2	2	+4	+8.8	20
4	Gent	9	6	1	2	+5	+2.4	19
5	Mechelen	11	5	4	2	+5	-2.9	19
6	Anderlecht	10	5	3	2	+7	+7.1	18
7	Waregem	12	5	2	5	+0	-6.5	17
8	Genk	9	3	3	3	+0	+1.9	12
9	RAAL La Louviere	12	3	3	6	-5	-7.9	12
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	3	2	5	-4	-3.5	11
11	Cercle Brugge	12	2	4	6	-4	+0.7	10
12	Westerlo	10	2	4	4	-4	+0.1	10
13	Charleroi	10	3	1	6	-4	-2.4	10
14	Antwerp	10	2	3	5	-3	-4.4	9
15	Standard	11	2	3	6	-10	-4.2	9
16	Dender	12	1	2	9	-14	-7.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	5	0	0	+14	+8.6	15
2	Club Brugge	5	4	1	0	+5	+1.2	13
3	Gent	4	4	0	0	+9	+3.0	12
4	St Truiden	6	4	0	2	+1	+4.4	12
5	Waregem	7	3	1	3	+1	-2.8	10
6	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
7	Antwerp	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.7	8
8	RAAL La Louviere	6	2	2	2	-1	-4.2	8
9	Genk	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.7	7
10	Charleroi	5	2	1	2	+0	-1.1	7
11	Westerlo	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.9	5
12	Mechelen	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.2	5
13	Cercle Brugge	7	1	2	4	-3	+0.9	5
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	1	1	3	+1	-1.7	4
15	Standard	5	0	3	2	-4	+0.4	3
16	Dender	4	0	0	4	-6	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mechelen	7	4	2	1	+5	-3.1	14
2	Club Brugge	5	4	0	1	+3	+2.0	12
3	St. Gilloise	5	3	2	0	+5	+6.7	11
4	Anderlecht	5	3	1	1	+4	+2.6	10
5	St Truiden	4	2	2	0	+3	+4.5	8
6	Waregem	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.7	7
7	Gent	5	2	1	2	-4	-0.7	7
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	2	1	2	-5	-1.8	7
9	Standard	6	2	0	4	-6	-4.7	6
10	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
11	Cercle Brugge	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.2	5
12	Westerlo	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.7	5
13	Dender	8	1	2	5	-8	-5.5	5
14	RAAL La Louviere	6	1	1	4	-4	-3.7	4
15	Charleroi	5	1	0	4	-4	-1.3	3
16	Antwerp	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.