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Serie A
Referee: Valerio Crezzini
Juventus
S U U U S
2–1
Full-time
Cagliari
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 30%
42%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
25%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,71 xG 0,54
57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 7. · Cagliari 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Roma 12 9 0 3 +9 +2.9 27
2 Milan 12 7 4 1 +9 +4.2 25
3 Napoli 12 8 1 3 +8 +4.0 25
4 Inter 12 8 0 4 +13 +13.0 24
5 Bologna 12 7 3 2 +13 +4.1 24
6 Como 13 6 6 1 +12 +5.3 24
7 Juventus 12 5 5 2 +4 +7.0 20
8 Lazio 12 5 3 4 +6 -3.3 18
9 Udinese 13 5 3 5 -6 -2.2 18
10 Sassuolo 13 5 2 6 +0 -4.3 17
11 Cremonese 12 3 5 4 -3 -7.3 14
12 Torino 12 3 5 4 -10 -5.7 14
13 Atalanta 12 2 7 3 +0 +3.8 13
14 Cagliari 12 2 5 5 -5 -7.3 11
15 Genoa 13 2 5 6 -7 +2.0 11
16 Parma 13 2 5 6 -8 -3.7 11
17 Pisa 12 1 7 4 -6 -4.3 10
18 Lecce 12 2 4 6 -8 -6.0 10
19 Fiorentina 12 0 6 6 -9 -2.3 6
20 Verona 13 0 6 7 -12 +0.1 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Cagliari
26′
S. Esposito 0–1
M. Palestra
1–1 K. Yildiz
27′
J. David 🔁
↦ D. Vlahovic
31′
39′
🟨 Adam Obert
2–1 K. Yildiz
P. Kalulu
45′
Half-time 2–1
A. Cambiaso 🔁
↦ F. Kostic
46′
53′
🔁 R. Idrissi
↦ A. Obert
53′
🔁 M. Prati
↦ J. Liteta
63′
🟨 Michael Folorunsho
69′
🔁 M. Felici
↦ S. Esposito
F. Miretti 🔁
↦ K. Thuram
70′
81′
🟨 Mattia Felici
81′
🔁 S. Kilicsoy
↦ M. Folorunsho
81′
🔁 G. Gaetano
↦ M. Adopo
82′
🟨 Matteo Prati
Andrea Cambiaso 🟨
83′
L. Openda 🔁
↦ K. Yildiz
85′
J. Cabal 🔁
↦ F. Conceicao
85′
93′
🟨 Alessandro Deiola
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Juventus

3-4-2-1
1 M. Perin G
15 P. Kalulu D
6 L. Kelly D
8 T. Koopmeiners D
22 W. McKennie M
5 M. Locatelli M
19 K. Thuram M
18 F. Kostic M
7 F. Conceicao F
10 K. Yildiz F
9 D. Vlahovic F
Bench (12)
16 M. Di Gregorio
42 S. Scaglia
4 F. Gatti
11 E. Zhegrova
17 V. Adzic
20 L. Openda
21 F. Miretti
25 Joao Mario
27 A. Cambiaso
30 J. David
32 J. Cabal
44 Pedro Felipe

Coach: Igor Tudor

Cagliari

3-5-2
1 E. Caprile G
28 G. Zappa D
14 A. Deiola D
6 S. Luperto D
2 M. Palestra M
8 M. Adopo M
27 J. Liteta M
90 M. Folorunsho M
33 A. Obert M
29 G. Borrelli F
94 S. Esposito F
Bench (13)
24 G. Ciocci
31 B. Radunovic
3 R. Idrissi
9 S. Kilicsoy
10 G. Gaetano
15 J. Rodriguez
16 M. Prati
17 M. Felici
18 A. Di Pardo
21 N. Cavuoti
23 N. Pintus
30 L. Pavoletti
77 Z. Luvumbo

Coach: Fabio Pisacane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,31
U
4,92
B
10,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Valerio Crezzini · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.