Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Juventus
Cagliari
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Roma
|
12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | +9 | +2.9 | 27 |
| 2 |
Milan
|
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +9 | +4.2 | 25 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +8 | +4.0 | 25 |
| 4 |
Inter
|
12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | +13 | +13.0 | 24 |
| 5 |
Bologna
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +13 | +4.1 | 24 |
| 6 |
Como
|
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | +12 | +5.3 | 24 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +4 | +7.0 | 20 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +6 | -3.3 | 18 |
| 9 |
Udinese
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -6 | -2.2 | 18 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +0 | -4.3 | 17 |
| 11 |
Cremonese
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | -7.3 | 14 |
| 12 |
Torino
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -10 | -5.7 | 14 |
| 13 |
Atalanta
|
12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +0 | +3.8 | 13 |
| 14 |
Cagliari
|
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | -7.3 | 11 |
| 15 |
Genoa
|
13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -7 | +2.0 | 11 |
| 16 |
Parma
|
13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -8 | -3.7 | 11 |
| 17 |
Pisa
|
12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -6 | -4.3 | 10 |
| 18 |
Lecce
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | -6.0 | 10 |
| 19 |
Fiorentina
|
12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -9 | -2.3 | 6 |
| 20 |
Verona
|
13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -12 | +0.1 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Perin
G
P. Kalulu
D
L. Kelly
D
T. Koopmeiners
D
W. McKennie
M
M. Locatelli
M
K. Thuram
M
F. Kostic
M
F. Conceicao
F
K. Yildiz
F
D. Vlahovic
F
Coach: Igor Tudor
E. Caprile
G
G. Zappa
D
A. Deiola
D
S. Luperto
D
M. Adopo
M
J. Liteta
M
M. Folorunsho
M
A. Obert
M
G. Borrelli
F
S. Esposito
F
Coach: Fabio Pisacane
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bodo/Glimt
Juventus
Fiorentina
Juventus
Juventus
Torino
Juventus
Sp Lisbon
Cremonese
Juventus
Valerio Crezzini · 13 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.