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LaLiga2

Referee: Alonso De Ena Wolf

Valladolid

T S U T T

1–1

Full-time

Malaga

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,3

3,7

Scored

0,5

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — LaLiga2 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

27%

53%

Both score Ø 44%

40%

47%

Average goals

1,9

2,6

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

21 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valladolid 11. · Malaga 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	16	9	5	2	+17	+2.8	32
2	Santander	15	9	2	4	+10	+0.1	29
3	Almeria	16	8	5	3	+10	+0.4	29
4	Las Palmas	15	8	5	2	+9	+1.2	29
5	Burgos	16	7	4	5	+6	+1.5	25
6	Ceuta	16	7	3	6	-3	-3.2	24
7	Castellon	15	6	4	5	+3	+2.4	22
8	Cordoba	15	5	6	4	+0	-0.2	21
9	Cadiz	15	5	6	4	-2	-2.0	21
10	Sp Gijon	16	6	3	7	-3	+0.0	21
11	Valladolid	15	5	5	5	+2	+3.9	20
12	Cultural Leonesa	16	6	2	8	-3	-4.7	20
13	Granada	16	4	7	5	-2	+0.9	19
14	Albacete	16	5	4	7	-5	-0.7	19
15	Huesca	16	5	4	7	-5	+1.3	19
16	Sociedad B	15	5	3	7	-1	+0.2	18
17	Malaga	15	5	3	7	-1	-1.3	18
18	Leganes	15	4	6	5	-1	+2.7	18
19	Andorra	16	4	6	6	-6	-1.3	18
20	Eibar	15	4	5	6	-1	-0.3	17
21	Mirandes	15	3	3	9	-10	-0.5	12
22	Zaragoza	15	3	3	9	-14	-3.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sociedad B	8	5	3	0	+8	+0.4	18
2	Ceuta	8	6	0	2	+5	-0.4	18
3	Almeria	8	5	2	1	+8	+2.5	17
4	Santander	8	5	1	2	+7	-0.4	16
5	Las Palmas	8	5	1	2	+5	+0.5	16
6	La Coruna	7	4	3	0	+9	+2.4	15
7	Malaga	8	4	3	1	+7	-1.1	15
8	Eibar	8	4	3	1	+6	+1.8	15
9	Huesca	8	4	3	1	+4	+0.0	15
10	Sp Gijon	9	4	3	2	+2	+0.5	15
11	Cadiz	8	4	2	2	+1	+0.6	14
12	Burgos	8	3	3	2	+3	+2.1	12
13	Valladolid	8	3	2	3	+3	+3.8	11
14	Castellon	7	3	2	2	+2	+0.7	11
15	Cordoba	7	3	2	2	+0	-0.7	11
16	Albacete	8	3	1	4	-4	-0.2	10
17	Granada	8	2	3	3	+0	+2.3	9
18	Andorra	7	2	3	2	+0	-0.6	9
19	Cultural Leonesa	8	2	2	4	-3	+0.3	8
20	Leganes	7	1	2	4	-4	+2.5	5
21	Zaragoza	7	1	2	4	-9	-0.4	5
22	Mirandes	7	1	1	5	-9	–	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	9	5	2	2	+8	+0.4	17
2	Las Palmas	7	3	4	0	+4	+0.7	13
3	Santander	7	4	1	2	+3	+0.5	13
4	Burgos	8	4	1	3	+3	-0.6	13
5	Leganes	8	3	4	1	+3	+0.2	13
6	Almeria	8	3	3	2	+2	-2.1	12
7	Cultural Leonesa	8	4	0	4	+0	-5.0	12
8	Castellon	8	3	2	3	+1	+1.7	11
9	Cordoba	8	2	4	2	+0	+0.5	10
10	Granada	8	2	4	2	-2	-1.4	10
11	Albacete	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.5	9
12	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	-1	+0.1	9
13	Andorra	9	2	3	4	-6	-0.7	9
14	Mirandes	8	2	2	4	-1	-0.5	8
15	Cadiz	7	1	4	2	-3	-2.6	7
16	Zaragoza	8	2	1	5	-5	-3.1	7
17	Sp Gijon	7	2	0	5	-5	-0.4	6
18	Ceuta	8	1	3	4	-8	-2.8	6
19	Huesca	8	1	1	6	-9	+1.3	4
20	Malaga	7	1	0	6	-8	-0.1	3
21	Eibar	7	0	2	5	-7	-2.1	2
22	Sociedad B	7	0	0	7	-9	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.