Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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The table before the match ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosenborg
|
30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | +46 | 69 |
| 2 |
Stromsgodset
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +23 | 57 |
| 3 |
Stabaek
|
30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | +11 | 56 |
| 4 |
Odd
|
30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | +20 | 55 |
| 5 |
Viking
|
30 | 17 | 2 | 11 | +14 | 53 |
| 6 |
Molde
|
30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +31 | 52 |
| 7 |
Valerenga
|
30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | +8 | 49 |
| 8 |
Lillestrom
|
30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 |
Aalesund
|
30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -15 | 38 |
| 11 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -12 | 34 |
| 12 |
Haugesund
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -19 | 31 |
| 13 |
Tromso
|
30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 |
Start
|
30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -29 | 22 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 21 |
| 16 |
Sandefjord
|
30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | -32 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.