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Championship
Referee: Mike Dean
Preston
S U U S U
1–2
Full-time
Blackburn
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
0,7
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
0,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — Championship · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 19%
19%
19%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
31%
31%
Both score Ø 41%
38%
44%
Average goals
1,5
1,9
Scored
0,7
0,9
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
9 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preston 17. · Blackburn 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hull 17 10 5 2 +18 35
2 Middlesbrough 17 10 3 4 +13 33
3 Brighton 15 9 6 0 +9 33
4 Burnley 16 9 5 2 +9 32
5 Derby 16 8 6 2 +11 30
6 Birmingham 16 8 4 4 +7 28
7 Cardiff 16 6 7 3 +5 25
8 Reading 16 6 6 4 +6 24
9 Ipswich 16 6 6 4 +0 24
10 Sheffield Weds 15 6 5 4 +1 23
11 Brentford 16 6 3 7 -2 21
12 Fulham 16 5 5 6 +1 20
13 QPR 17 5 5 7 -3 20
14 Wolves 16 5 4 7 -1 19
15 Leeds 16 4 7 5 -3 19
16 Blackburn 16 3 8 5 +0 17
17 Preston 16 3 8 5 -2 17
18 Nott'm Forest 16 4 5 7 -4 17
19 Bristol City 17 3 7 7 -9 16
20 Huddersfield 16 3 6 7 -7 15
21 Milton Keynes Dons 16 4 2 10 -9 14
22 Charlton 16 3 4 9 -12 13
23 Bolton 16 1 8 7 -12 11
24 Rotherham 16 2 3 11 -16 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preston Blackburn
31′
J. Pickford 1–0
own goal
33′
🔁 C. Taylor
↦ T. Lawrence
37′
🟨 Corry Evans
Half-time 1–0
T. Clarke 🔁
↦ C. Woods
46′
Paul Huntington 🟨
51′
52′
J. Rhodes 1–1
Joe Garner 🟨
60′
W. Keane 🔁
↦ D. Johnson
64′
S. May 🔁
↦ E. Doyle
64′
2–1 J. Garner
S. May
67′
74′
🔁 D. Guthrie
↦ C. Conway
82′
🔁 F. Koita
↦ J. Rhodes
Bailey Wright 🟨
84′
86′
🟨 Bengali-Fodé Koita
Bailey Wright 🟨
90′
Bailey Wright 🟥
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Preston

1 J. Pickford G
23 P. Huntington D
15 C. Woods D
3 G. Cunningham D
6 B. Wright D
32 A. Reach M
11 D. Johnson M
16 A. Browne M
12 P. Gallagher M
14 J. Garner F
13 E. Doyle F
Bench (7)
5 T. Clarke
9 W. Keane
24 S. May
2 M. Vermijl
19 J. Welsh
25 J. Hugill
43 C. Kirkland

Blackburn

30 J. Steele G
14 M. Olsson D
22 S. Duffy D
5 G. Hanley D
2 A. Henley D
32 C. Conway M
10 B. Marshall M
29 C. Evans M
21 H. Akpan M
16 T. Lawrence M
11 J. Rhodes F
Bench (7)
19 C. Taylor
23 D. Guthrie
8 F. Koita
3 T. Spurr
4 M. Kilgallon
7 N. Delfouneso
33 David Raya

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mike Dean · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.