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Champions League
Referee: I Peljto
Inter
S U S S S
3–0
Full-time
Monaco
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 64%
71%
57%
Points per game
2,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
14%
71%
Both score Ø 29%
0%
57%
Average goals
1,3
3,3
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
0,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,89 xG 0,25
64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Inter Monaco
3′
🟨 Denis Zakaria
1–0 L. Martínez ⚽
4′
12′
🟥 Christian Mawissa
2–0 L. Martínez ⚽
N. Barella
16′
19′
🔁 Caio Henrique
↦ M. Akliouche
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Teze
↦ T. Kehrer
46′
🔁 S. Magassa
↦ L. Camara
48′
🟨 Vanderson
Carlos Augusto 🔁
↦ A. Bastoni
59′
D. Frattesi 🔁
↦ N. Barella
59′
M. Arnautović 🔁
↦ M. Thuram
60′
Benjamin Pavard 🟨
66′
3–0 L. Martínez ⚽
67′
68′
🔁 L. Michal
↦ T. Minamino
M. Darmian 🔁
↦ D. Dumfries
76′
G. De Pieri 🔁
↦ L. Martínez
76′
79′
🔁 E. Ben Seghir
↦ A. Golovin
Kristjan Asllani 🟨
81′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
28 B. Pavard D
6 S. de Vrij D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
21 K. Asllani M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
10 L. Martínez F
9 M. Thuram F
Bench (10)
30 Carlos Augusto
16 D. Frattesi
8 M. Arnautović
36 M. Darmian
49 G. De Pieri
40 A. Calligaris
7 P. Zieliński
13 Josep Martínez
17 T. Buchanan
31 Y. Bisseck

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Monaco

4-2-3-1
1 R. Majecki G
2 Vanderson D
5 T. Kehrer D
22 M. Salisu D
13 C. Mawissa D
15 L. Camara M
6 D. Zakaria M
11 M. Akliouche M
18 T. Minamino M
10 A. Golovin M
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (11)
12 Caio Henrique
4 J. Teze
88 S. Magassa
41 L. Michal
7 E. Ben Seghir
42 S. Bouabré
16 P. Köhn
28 M. Coulibaly
27 K. Diatta
20 K. Ouattara
50 Y. Lienard

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.