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Primeira Liga
Referee: António Nobre
Sp Braga
S S T U S
5–0
Full-time
Maritimo
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
4,5
4,5
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
3,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%
20 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Braga 6. · Maritimo 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Guimaraes 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Boavista 3 2 0 1 +0 6
5 Arouca 3 2 0 1 -2 6
6 Sp Braga 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Estoril 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Casa Pia 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Sp Lisbon 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Chaves 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Vizela 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Portimonense 2 1 0 1 +2 3
13 Gil Vicente 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Santa Clara 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Rio Ave 3 0 1 2 -4 1
16 Pacos Ferreira 2 0 0 2 -4 0
17 Maritimo 2 0 0 2 -5 0
18 Famalicao 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Braga Maritimo
1–0 Vítinha
André Horta
9′
Iuri Medeiros 🟨
20′
Fabiano Silva 🟨
25′
Vitinha ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
37′
2–0 Iuri Medeiros
42′
45′
🟨 Stefano Beltrame
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Zainadine Júnior
↦ Vítor Costa
46′
🔁 Antonio Zarzana
↦ Miguel Sousa
3–0 S. Banza
Iuri Medeiros
57′
Álvaro Djaló 🔁
↦ Iuri Medeiros
59′
Abel Ruiz 🔁
↦ Vítinha
59′
60′
🔁 Pablo Moreno
↦ Edgar Costa
4–0 Abel Ruiz
Álvaro Djaló
65′
D. Lainez 🔁
↦ Ricardo Horta
66′
71′
🔁 L. Vega
↦ Diogo Mendes
76′
🔁 C. Ramírez
↦ J. Tagueu
Castro 🔁
↦ André Horta
79′
Rodrigo Gomes 🔁
↦ S. Banza
79′
Diego Lainez 🟨
83′
5–0 Rodrigo Gomes
D. Lainez
88′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus G
70 Fabiano D
3 Vítor Tormena D
4 S. Niakaté D
6 Nuno Sequeira D
45 Iuri Medeiros M
10 André Horta M
8 Ali Musrati M
21 Ricardo Horta M
23 S. Banza F
99 Vítinha F
Bench (9)
14 Álvaro Djaló
9 Abel Ruiz
18 D. Lainez
88 Castro
7 Rodrigo Gomes
15 Paulo Oliveira
76 Dinis Pinto
12 Tiago Sá
29 J. Gorby

Coach: Artur Jorge

Maritimo

4-4-2
1 Miguel Silva G
2 Cláudio Winck D
4 Matheus Costa D
66 Léo Andrade D
94 Vítor Costa D
20 Miguel Sousa M
16 Diogo Mendes M
10 S. Beltrame M
7 André Vidigal M
95 J. Tagueu F
12 Edgar Costa F
Bench (9)
5 Zainadine Júnior
17 Antonio Zarzana
9 Pablo Moreno
34 L. Vega
11 C. Ramírez
44 André Teles
59 M. Trmal
23 Bruno Xadas
45 Fábio China

Coach: Vasco Seabra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,38
U
4,87
B
7,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,16
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.