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Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Rennes

T S U T U

2–1

Full-time

Ajaccio

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

16 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 2

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rennes 17. · Ajaccio 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Clermont	3	2	0	1	-2	6
6	Toulouse	3	1	2	0	+3	5
7	Lille	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Brest	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Auxerre	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Monaco	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Montpellier	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Strasbourg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Nantes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Nice	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Angers	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Ajaccio	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Reims	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Troyes	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Lille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Clermont	2	1	0	1	-4	3
8	Toulouse	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Auxerre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Ajaccio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Angers	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Reims	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Brest	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Nice	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Reims	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.