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Bundesliga

Referee: F Brych

Stuttgart

U S S U U

0–1

Full-time

Freiburg

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

2,7

4,3

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 11. · Freiburg 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	FC Koln	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Union Berlin	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Mainz	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Stuttgart	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	RB Leipzig	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Wolfsburg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Wolfsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.