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Pro League
Referee: A Boucaut
Westerlo
T U S U S
4–2
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 57%
36%
77%
Points per game
1,4
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
55%
68%
Both score Ø 62%
59%
64%
Average goals
3,5
3,1
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 20
6 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Westerlo 14. · St. Gilloise 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 24 20 3 1 +45 63
2 St. Gilloise 22 17 3 2 +26 54
3 Antwerp 21 15 3 3 +24 48
4 Anderlecht 27 12 5 10 +11 41
5 Gent 21 12 3 6 +18 39
6 Club Brugge 21 11 6 4 +16 39
7 Charleroi 27 11 5 11 +0 38
8 St Truiden 27 10 8 9 -2 38
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 28 9 8 11 +4 35
10 Cercle Brugge 22 8 9 5 +4 33
11 Standard 22 10 3 9 +1 33
12 Mechelen 28 9 6 13 -8 33
13 Kortrijk 29 9 6 14 -15 33
14 Westerlo 22 8 6 8 +2 30
15 Eupen 29 8 5 16 -20 29
16 Waregem 29 6 9 14 -20 27
17 Oostende 29 5 6 18 -32 21
18 Seraing 27 5 4 18 -27 19
19 Seraing United 27 5 4 18 -27 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Westerlo St. Gilloise
1–0 T. Van den Keybus
N. Madsen
16′
2–0 N. Chadli
20′
Pietro Perdichizzi 🟨
36′
40′
V. Boniface 2–1
L. Amani
Half-time 2–1
64′
🔁 L. Lapoussin
↦ I. Kandouss
67′
V. Boniface 2–2
69′
🟨 Christian Burgess
Bryan Reynolds ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
70′
72′
🟨 Jean Thierry Lazare Amani
3–2 M. De Cuyper
73′
N. Dorgeles 🔁
↦ N. Chadli
77′
R. Seigers 🔁
↦ M. Fixelles
83′
85′
🔁 Y. Vertessen
↦ S. Lynen
Sinan Bolat 🟨
87′
4–2 N. Dorgeles
K. Vaesen
89′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Westerlo

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bolat G
22 B. Reynolds D
33 R. Neustädter D
2 P. Perdichizzi D
11 M. De Cuyper D
8 N. Madsen M
7 L. Van Eenoo M
4 M. Fixelles M
5 N. Chadli M
39 T. Van den Keybus M
14 K. Vaesen F
Bench (7)
45 N. Dorgeles
23 R. Seigers
79 Y. Matsuo
20 N. Gillekens
32 E. Jordanov
17 M. Gümüşkaya
55 T. Dierckx

Coach: J. De Roeck

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
59 I. Kandouss D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
8 L. Amani M
20 S. Lynen M
10 T. Teuma M
11 S. Adingra M
29 G. Nilsson F
7 V. Boniface F
Bench (7)
94 L. Lapoussin
18 Y. Vertessen
19 G. François
21 L. Pirard
6 O. El Azzouzi
23 Cameron Puertas
26 R. Sykes

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,50
U
3,61
B
2,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Boucaut · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.