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Bundesliga

Referee: T Reichel

Union Berlin

S S S S U

0–0

Full-time

Schalke 04

T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,2

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 38%

65%

10%

Points per game

2,1

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

60%

55%

Both score Ø 53%

60%

45%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

1,2

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,76 xG 0,32

54% Possession 46%

9 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

13 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 2. · Schalke 04 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	21	12	7	2	+40	+1.4	43
2	Union Berlin	20	13	3	4	+11	+3.7	42
3	Dortmund	20	13	1	6	+14	+4.0	40
4	Freiburg	21	12	4	5	+3	+0.9	40
5	RB Leipzig	21	11	6	4	+17	+3.6	39
6	Ein Frankfurt	21	11	5	5	+13	-1.1	38
7	Wolfsburg	21	8	6	7	+9	+2.8	30
8	M'gladbach	21	8	5	8	+3	-2.8	29
9	Leverkusen	20	8	3	9	+1	+3.2	27
10	Werder Bremen	21	8	3	10	-10	-6.4	27
11	FC Koln	21	6	8	7	-2	+0.5	26
12	Mainz	20	7	5	8	-2	+0.9	26
13	Augsburg	21	7	3	11	-10	-0.5	24
14	Stuttgart	21	4	7	10	-10	+0.7	19
15	Hoffenheim	21	5	4	12	-11	-3.9	19
16	Bochum	21	6	1	14	-27	-3.7	19
17	Hertha	20	4	5	11	-12	-3.0	17
18	Schalke 04	20	2	6	12	-27	-0.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	10	7	2	1	+14	-1.6	23
2	Union Berlin	9	7	2	0	+11	+1.7	23
3	Freiburg	10	7	2	1	+10	+3.1	23
4	Bayern Munich	10	6	4	0	+23	+4.9	22
5	Dortmund	9	7	1	1	+15	+2.7	22
6	Ein Frankfurt	11	7	1	3	+13	+2.3	22
7	M'gladbach	11	7	1	3	+10	+0.4	22
8	FC Koln	10	5	3	2	+11	+3.3	18
9	Bochum	10	5	1	4	-2	+1.1	16
10	Wolfsburg	10	4	3	3	+6	+1.4	15
11	Stuttgart	11	4	3	4	+2	+2.5	15
12	Leverkusen	10	4	2	4	+6	+1.8	14
13	Augsburg	11	4	2	5	-5	+1.8	14
14	Mainz	10	3	4	3	+3	+1.1	13
15	Werder Bremen	11	4	1	6	-1	-0.9	13
16	Hertha	11	3	4	4	-3	-1.1	13
17	Hoffenheim	11	3	2	6	-6	+0.7	11
18	Schalke 04	11	2	3	6	-15	-1.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	6	3	2	+17	-3.5	21
2	Union Berlin	11	6	1	4	+0	+2.0	19
3	Dortmund	11	6	0	5	-1	+1.3	18
4	Freiburg	11	5	2	4	-7	-2.2	17
5	RB Leipzig	11	4	4	3	+3	+5.2	16
6	Ein Frankfurt	10	4	4	2	+0	-3.5	16
7	Wolfsburg	11	4	3	4	+3	+1.4	15
8	Werder Bremen	10	4	2	4	-9	-5.5	14
9	Leverkusen	10	4	1	5	-5	+1.4	13
10	Mainz	10	4	1	5	-5	-0.2	13
11	Augsburg	10	3	1	6	-5	-2.3	10
12	Hoffenheim	10	2	2	6	-5	-4.6	8
13	FC Koln	11	1	5	5	-13	-2.7	8
14	M'gladbach	10	1	4	5	-7	-3.2	7
15	Hertha	9	1	1	7	-9	-1.9	4
16	Stuttgart	10	0	4	6	-12	-1.8	4
17	Schalke 04	9	0	3	6	-12	+0.6	3
18	Bochum	11	1	0	10	-25	-4.8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.