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Ligue 1
Referee: W Delajod
Nantes
T U T T S
1–2
Full-time
Toulouse
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,0
Scored
0,3
0,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,06 xG 1,22
44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. May -23 Toulouse – Nantes 0–0 29. Apr -23 Nantes – Toulouse 1–5 28. Aug -22 Nantes – Toulouse 3–1 30. May -21 Nantes – Toulouse 0–1 27. May -21 Toulouse – Nantes 1–2

Match report

Nantes Toulouse
Marcus Coco 🟨
2′
1–0 Mostafa Mohamed ⚽
13′
Nicolas Pallois 🟨
18′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 Logan Costa
J. Hadjam 🔁
↦ M. Coco
59′
62′
⚽ Z. Aboukhlal 1–1
M. Diarra
D. Petrić 🔁
↦ A. Lafont
67′
Douglas Augusto 🔁
↦ S. Moutoussamy
68′
K. Bamba 🔁
↦ M. Simon
68′
70′
🔁 F. Chaïbi
↦ M. Diarra
73′
🟨 Vincent Sierro
83′
🔁 N. Schmidt
↦ D. Genreau
83′
🔁 F. Magri
↦ Z. Aboukhlal
Marquinhos 🔁
↦ Mostafa Mohamed
88′
91′
⚽ R. Nicolaisen 1–2
F. Chaïbi
97′
🔁 Y. Begraoui
↦ V. Sierro
97′
🔁 W. Kamanzi
↦ T. Dallinga
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Nantes

3-4-1-2
1 A. Lafont G
44 N. Zézé D
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
4 N. Pallois D
11 M. Coco M
8 S. Moutoussamy M
5 Pedro Chirivella M
29 Q. Merlin M
25 F. Mollet F
31 Mostafa Mohamed F
27 M. Simon F
Bench (9)
26 J. Hadjam
30 D. Petrić
6 Douglas Augusto
12 K. Bamba
10 Marquinhos
22 Y. M'Bemba
14 L. Diack
45 B. Meupiyou
17 M. Sissoko

Coach: P. Aristouy

Toulouse

4-3-3
50 G. Restes G
3 M. Desler D
6 Logan Costa D
2 R. Nicolaisen D
23 M. Diarra D
8 V. Sierro M
24 C. Cásseres M
5 D. Genreau M
7 Z. Aboukhlal F
9 T. Dallinga F
17 G. Suazo F
Bench (9)
28 F. Chaïbi
20 N. Schmidt
19 F. Magri
14 Y. Begraoui
12 W. Kamanzi
4 A. Rouault
30 Álex Domínguez
11 César Gelabert
21 M. Bangré

Coach: Carles Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
🔒
U
3,38
🔒
B ✓
2,74
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,98
🔒
U2,5
1,85
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.