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Europa League
Referee: I Pajač
Roma
S S U T S
4–0
Full-time
Servette
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,30 xG 0,26
54% Possession 46%
18 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
15 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Roma Servette
1–0 R. Lukaku ⚽
Z. Çelik
21′
Half-time 1–0
L. Pellegrini 🔁
↦ H. Aouar
46′
2–0 A. Belotti ⚽
L. Pellegrini
46′
3–0 L. Pellegrini ⚽
Z. Çelik
52′
R. Pagano 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
57′
4–0 A. Belotti ⚽
L. Paredes
59′
63′
🔁 J. Guillemenot
↦ E. Crivelli
N. Zalewski 🔁
↦ R. Lukaku
64′
R. Karsdorp 🔁
↦ G. Mancini
64′
64′
🔁 T. Cognat
↦ A. Antunes
64′
🔁 B. Bolla
↦ D. Kutesa
70′
🟨 Gaël Ondoua
74′
🔁 D. Douline
↦ C. Bedia
F. D'Alessio 🔁
↦ E. Bove
76′
81′
🟨 David Douline
88′
🔁 H. Touati
↦ M. Stevanović
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Roma

3-5-2
99 M. Svilar G
23 G. Mancini D
4 B. Cristante D
5 E. Ndicka D
19 Z. Çelik M
52 E. Bove M
16 L. Paredes M
22 H. Aouar M
92 S. El Shaarawy M
90 R. Lukaku F
11 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
7 L. Pellegrini
60 R. Pagano
59 N. Zalewski
2 R. Karsdorp
68 F. D'Alessio
21 P. Dybala
61 N. Pisilli
63 P. Boer
37 L. Spinazzola
1 Rui Patrício
66 M. Mannini
67 João Costa

Coach: José Mourinho

Servette

4-4-2
32 J. Frick G
3 K. Tsunemoto D
33 N. Vouilloz D
19 Y. Severin D
18 B. Mazikou D
9 M. Stevanović M
10 A. Antunes M
5 G. Ondoua M
27 E. Crivelli M
29 C. Bedia F
17 D. Kutesa F
Bench (11)
21 J. Guillemenot
8 T. Cognat
77 B. Bolla
28 D. Douline
45 H. Touati
26 N. Henchoz
44 L. Besson
30 S. Diba
42 J. Simo
31 T. Ouattara
1 J. Mall

Coach: R. Weiler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Pajač · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.