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Europa League
Referee: A Papapetrou
Molde
S T U S S
1–2
Full-time
Leverkusen
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
4,2
Scored
2,0
3,5
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,27 xG 1,45
38% Possession 62%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Molde Leverkusen
14′
⚽ J. Frimpong 0–1
A. Adli
18′
⚽ N. Tella 0–2
A. Hložek
O. Petersen 🔁
↦ J. Karlstrøm
41′
Kristian Eriksen 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–2
Mathias Fjortoft Lovik 🟨
67′
F. Gulbrandsen 🔁
↦ M. Eikrem
67′
E. Kitolano 🔁
↦ E. Hestad
68′
70′
🔁 Álex Grimaldo
↦ E. Tapsoba
70′
🔁 J. Hofmann
↦ N. Tella
M. Grødem 🔁
↦ M. Kaasa
80′
C. Cappis 🔁
↦ K. Haugen
80′
83′
🔁 V. Boniface
↦ A. Hložek
83′
🔁 F. Wirtz
↦ A. Adli
1–2 E. Breivik ⚽
M. Løvik
87′
91′
🔁 O. Kossounou
↦ J. Frimpong
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Molde

3-5-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
3 C. Øyvann D
25 A. Hagelskjær D
6 M. Ellingsen D
31 M. Løvik M
5 E. Hestad M
15 M. Kaasa M
16 E. Breivik M
28 K. Haugen M
7 M. Eikrem F
20 K. Eriksen F
Bench (10)
12 O. Petersen
8 F. Gulbrandsen
10 E. Kitolano
22 M. Grødem
4 C. Cappis
34 P. Lervik
33 N. Ødegård
46 A. Myklebust
24 J. Bakke
50 G. Nyheim

Coach: E. Moe

Leverkusen

3-4-3
17 M. Kovář G
2 J. Stanišić D
4 J. Tah D
12 E. Tapsoba D
30 J. Frimpong M
8 R. Andrich M
34 G. Xhaka M
3 P. Hincapié M
19 N. Tella F
23 A. Hložek F
21 A. Adli F
Bench (10)
20 Álex Grimaldo
7 J. Hofmann
22 V. Boniface
10 F. Wirtz
6 O. Kossounou
1 L. Hrádecký
18 N. Mbamba
32 G. Puerta
25 E. Palacios
36 N. Lomb

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Papapetrou · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.