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Conference League
Referee: Gustavo Correia
FC Astana
S T S U T
1–2
Full-time
Plzen
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Astana Plzen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
2,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+2,0
This season — Conference League · 3/7 matches
Win Ø 60%
33%
86%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
57%
Both score Ø 48%
67%
29%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,37 xG 1,01
48% Possession 52%
6 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FC Astana Plzen
Varazdat Haroyan 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
Islambek Kuat 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 V. Jemelka
↦ L. Hejda
1–0 M. Tomasov ⚽
D. Darboe
51′
54′
⚽ T. Chorý 1–1
S. Dweh
56′
⚽ J. Kopic 1–2
T. Chorý
Aleksandr Marochkin 🟨
58′
60′
🟨 Rafiu Durosinmi
Kamo Hovhannisyan 🟨
63′
66′
🟨 Pavel Šulc
D. Jovančić 🔁
↦ I. Kuat
67′
M. Ebong 🔁
↦ F. Ourega
67′
A. Aymbetov 🔁
↦ D. Darboe
73′
79′
🟨 Tomáš Chorý
80′
🔁 M. Vydra
↦ T. Chorý
87′
🔁 I. Traoré
↦ P. Bucha
N. Zhaksylyk 🔁
↦ S. Lončar
90′
93′
🔁 J. Sýkora
↦ R. Durosinmi
93′
🔁 A. Vlkanova
↦ P. Šulc
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

FC Astana

5-3-2
93 J. Čondrić G
13 K. Hovhannisyan D
3 V. Haroyan D
22 A. Marochkin D
33 Ž. Tomašević D
6 Y. Vorogovskiy D
8 I. Kuat M
44 S. Lončar M
23 F. Ourega M
10 M. Tomasov F
88 D. Darboe F
Bench (10)
29 D. Jovančić
7 M. Ebong
17 A. Aymbetov
97 N. Zhaksylyk
27 T. Dosmagambetov
31 D. Podymskiy
11 A. Darabayev
45 A. Amanović
72 S. Basmanov
55 A. Zarutskiy

Coach: G. Babayan

Plzen

3-5-2
36 J. Staněk G
2 L. Hejda D
3 R. Hranáč D
40 S. Dweh D
10 J. Kopic M
23 L. Kalvach M
20 P. Bucha M
31 P. Šulc M
22 Cadu M
17 R. Durosinmi F
15 T. Chorý F
Bench (12)
21 V. Jemelka
11 M. Vydra
12 I. Traoré
7 J. Sýkora
88 A. Vlkanova
18 J. Mosquera
44 L. Holík
5 J. Paluska
13 M. Tvrdoň
9 J. Kliment
33 E. Jirka
14 R. Řezník

Coach: M. Koubek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.