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Europa League
Referee: M Al Hakim
Freiburg
T T S U S
1–2
Full-time
West Ham
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
4,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,55 xG 1,06
55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Freiburg West Ham
8′
⚽ Lucas Paquetá 0–1
J. Bowen
Nicolas Höfler 🟨
25′
Half-time 0–1
R. Doan 🔁
↦ J. Adamu
46′
48′
🟨 Edson Álvarez
1–1 R. Sallai ⚽
49′
66′
⚽ N. Aguerd 1–2
J. Ward-Prowse
71′
🔁 T. Souček
↦ Pablo Fornals
71′
🔁 Emerson
↦ T. Kehrer
M. Philipp 🔁
↦ L. Höler
76′
N. Weißhaupt 🔁
↦ L. Kübler
76′
M. Röhl 🔁
↦ M. Eggestein
76′
80′
🔁 S. Benrahma
↦ M. Kudus
M. Breunig 🔁
↦ V. Grifo
87′
90′
🔁 D. Mubama
↦ Lucas Paquetá
90′
🔁 D. Ings
↦ J. Ward-Prowse
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-4-2
1 N. Atubolu G
25 K. Sildillia D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
17 L. Kübler D
22 R. Sallai M
8 M. Eggestein M
27 N. Höfler M
32 V. Grifo M
20 J. Adamu F
9 L. Höler F
Bench (11)
42 R. Doan
26 M. Philipp
7 N. Weißhaupt
34 M. Röhl
44 M. Breunig
33 J. Makengo
5 M. Gulde
35 F. Rüdlin
4 K. Schmidt
21 F. Müller
31 B. Uphoff

Coach: C. Streich

West Ham

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
5 V. Coufal D
15 K. Mavropanos D
27 N. Aguerd D
24 T. Kehrer D
19 E. Álvarez M
7 J. Ward-Prowse M
14 M. Kudus M
10 Lucas Paquetá M
8 Pablo Fornals M
20 J. Bowen F
Bench (11)
28 T. Souček
33 Emerson
22 S. Benrahma
45 D. Mubama
18 D. Ings
17 M. Cornet
4 K. Zouma
21 A. Ogbonna
32 C. Coventry
23 A. Areola
49 J. Anang

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.