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Europa League
Referee: N Walsh
Toulouse
U U U T S
1–0
Full-time
LASK
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse LASK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,40 xG 1,68
46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 18
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Toulouse LASK
1–0 G. Suazo ⚽
T. Dallinga
31′
Gabriel Suazo 🟨
36′
Niklas Schmidt 🟨
39′
Moussa Diarra 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
56′
🟨 Branko Jovičić
59′
🔁 E. Havel
↦ M. Usor
F. Magri 🔁
↦ César Gelabert
61′
Mikkel Desler 🟨
65′
69′
🔁 E. Darboe
↦ B. Jovičić
69′
🔁 M. Koné
↦ M. Ljubičić
76′
🟨 Ebrima Darboe
D. Genreau 🔁
↦ T. Dallinga
77′
Y. Begraoui 🔁
↦ A. Dønnum
77′
Cristian Cásseres Jr. 🟨
79′
88′
🔁 I. Mustapha
↦ M. Talovierov
88′
🔁 S. Ba
↦ G. Bello
89′
🟨 Ivan Ljubić
W. Kamanzi 🔁
↦ N. Schmidt
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Toulouse

4-1-4-1
50 G. Restes G
3 M. Desler D
23 M. Diarra D
2 R. Nicolaisen D
17 G. Suazo D
24 C. Cásseres M
15 A. Dønnum M
20 N. Schmidt M
8 V. Sierro M
11 César Gelabert M
9 T. Dallinga F
Bench (10)
19 F. Magri
5 D. Genreau
14 Y. Begraoui
12 W. Kamanzi
21 M. Bangré
13 C. Mawissa
40 J. Lacombe
25 K. Keben
30 Álex Domínguez
22 N. Skyttä

Coach: Carles Martínez

LASK

3-4-3
1 T. Lawal G
5 P. Ziereis D
16 A. Andrade D
4 M. Talovierov D
29 F. Flecker M
18 B. Jovičić M
21 I. Ljubic M
2 G. Bello M
9 M. Ljubičić F
10 R. Žulj F
17 M. Usor F
Bench (10)
24 E. Havel
55 E. Darboe
11 M. Koné
23 I. Mustapha
25 S. Ba
36 L. Jungwirth
27 T. Goiginger
22 F. Stojković
28 J. Siebenhandl
14 H. Balić

Coach: T. Sageder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.