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Conference League
Referee: J Xhaja
Nordsjaelland
U T U U U
7–1
Full-time
Ludogorets
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 80%
60%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
40%
100%
Both score Ø 10%
20%
0%
Average goals
2,4
4,0
Scored
1,8
4,0
Conceded
0,6
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

4,21 xG 1,62
60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nordsjaelland Ludogorets
1–0 M. Ingvartsen ⚽
2′
9′
⚽ O. Verdon 1–1
2–1 I. Osman ⚽
11′
3–1 J. Tverskov ⚽
D. Svensson
31′
4–1 B. Nygren ⚽
32′
40′
🟨 Caio Vidal
Half-time 4–1
46′
🔁 Pedro Naressi
↦ Claude Gonçalves
55′
🟨 Aslak Fonn Witry
M. Diomandé 🔁
↦ J. Tverskov
64′
65′
🔁 S. Delev
↦ B. Tekpetey
65′
🔁 D. Yankov
↦ Caio Vidal
4–2 Son ⚽
own goal
68′
70′
🔁 M. Tissera
↦ Rwan Cruz
70′
🔁 I. Yordanov
↦ M. Chouiar
M. Hansen 🔁
↦ I. Osman
73′
A. Schjelderup 🔁
↦ D. Svensson
73′
L. Hey 🔁
↦ K. Hansen
74′
5–2 B. Nygren ⚽
M. Frese
74′
C. Rasmussen 🔁
↦ M. Ingvartsen
85′
6–2 C. Rasmussen ⚽
86′
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
23 O. Villadsen D
4 K. Hansen D
39 A. Nagalo D
5 M. Frese D
29 M. Dorgeles M
6 J. Tverskov M
27 D. Svensson M
9 B. Nygren F
7 M. Ingvartsen F
14 I. Osman F
Bench (12)
10 M. Diomandé
11 M. Hansen
8 A. Schjelderup
19 L. Hey
17 C. Rasmussen
25 C. Eriksson
30 J. Jensen-Abbew
15 E. Marxen
40 C. Harder
21 Z. Sertdemir
42 K. Barslund
12 R. Ascone

Coach: J. Thorup

Ludogorets

4-1-4-1
1 S. Padt G
16 A. Witry D
26 N. Sonko Sundberg D
24 O. Verdon D
17 Son D
8 Claude Gonçalves M
37 B. Tekpetey M
11 M. Chouiar M
6 J. Piotrowski M
77 Caio Vidal M
99 Rwan Cruz F
Bench (10)
30 Pedro Naressi
90 S. Delev
64 D. Yankov
10 M. Tissera
82 I. Yordanov
69 P. Pepelyashev
22 F. Russo
12 S. Sluga
88 T. Nedelev
5 G. Terziev

Coach: I. Petev

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Xhaja · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.