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Super League

Referee: H Osmers

PAOK

S T S U U

0–0

Full-time

AEK

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 21/22 matches

Win Ø 72%

71%

73%

Points per game

2,3

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

62%

32%

Both score Ø 37%

38%

36%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

2,1

1,8

Conceded

0,7

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,18 xG 0,58

52% Possession 48%

8 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 3. · AEK 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	22	16	4	2	+25	+3.3	52
2	Olympiakos	23	15	6	2	+29	+2.1	51
3	PAOK	21	15	4	2	+30	+0.9	49
4	Levadeiakos	23	11	8	4	+24	-1.6	41
5	Panathinaikos	20	9	6	5	+7	-0.1	33
6	OFI Crete	21	9	1	11	-5	-2.1	28
7	Aris Thessalonikis	21	6	9	6	-3	-2.5	27
8	Aris	21	6	9	6	-3	–	27
9	Volos NFC	23	8	3	12	-12	+1.6	27
10	Panetolikos	23	7	3	13	-11	-0.4	24
11	Larisa	22	5	7	10	-13	+0.8	22
12	Atromitos	21	5	5	11	-6	–	20
13	Kifisia	21	4	8	9	-7	+1.6	20
14	Asteras Tripolis	23	3	8	12	-15	-0.4	17
15	Panserraikos	21	2	3	16	-40	-3.3	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	11	10	1	0	+21	–	31
2	Olympiakos	11	9	1	1	+18	+0.1	28
3	AEK	11	9	1	1	+13	–	28
4	Levadeiakos	12	7	3	2	+19	-2.1	24
5	Panathinaikos	9	6	2	1	+10	–	20
6	OFI Crete	11	6	0	5	+8	-0.5	18
7	Volos NFC	11	4	3	4	-4	+1.6	15
8	Aris Thessalonikis	10	2	7	1	+1	-0.9	13
9	Aris	10	2	7	1	+1	–	13
10	Larisa	12	3	4	5	-8	+0.8	13
11	Asteras Tripolis	11	2	5	4	-1	–	11
12	Kifisia	11	2	4	5	-2	+1.6	10
13	Panetolikos	12	3	0	9	-10	+0.4	9
14	Panserraikos	10	2	1	7	-16	-3.3	7
15	Atromitos	11	1	3	7	-6	–	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	11	7	3	1	+12	+3.3	24
2	Olympiakos	12	6	5	1	+11	+2.1	23
3	PAOK	10	5	3	2	+9	+0.9	18
4	Levadeiakos	11	4	5	2	+5	+0.5	17
5	Panetolikos	11	4	3	4	-1	-0.8	15
6	Atromitos	10	4	2	4	+0	–	14
7	Aris Thessalonikis	11	4	2	5	-4	-1.6	14
8	Aris	11	4	2	5	-4	–	14
9	Panathinaikos	11	3	4	4	-3	-0.1	13
10	Volos NFC	12	4	0	8	-8	–	12
11	Kifisia	10	2	4	4	-5	–	10
12	OFI Crete	10	3	1	6	-13	-1.6	10
13	Larisa	10	2	3	5	-5	–	9
14	Asteras Tripolis	12	1	3	8	-14	-0.4	6
15	Panserraikos	11	0	2	9	-24	–	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.