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Eredivisie
Referee: R Dieperink
Cambuur
U S T U S
0–1
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cambuur AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,3
This season — Eredivisie · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
9 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cambuur 10. · AZ Alkmaar 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Feyenoord 4 3 1 0 +8 10
3 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +11 9
4 Heerenveen 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 AZ Alkmaar 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Twente 3 2 0 1 +3 6
7 Excelsior 3 2 0 1 -1 6
8 Groningen 4 1 2 1 -4 5
9 Nijmegen 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Cambuur 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Volendam 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 FC Emmen 4 1 1 2 -6 4
14 Waalwijk 4 0 3 1 -1 3
15 Utrecht 4 0 2 2 -3 2
16 Vitesse 4 0 1 3 -9 1
17 Go Ahead Eagles 4 0 0 4 -7 0
18 For Sittard 4 0 0 4 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cambuur AZ Alkmaar
12′
🟨 Miloš Kerkez
Mitchell Paulissen 🟨
23′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Odgaard
↦ Vangelis Pavlidis
46′
🔁 M. de Wit
↦ M. Kerkez
Jamie Jacobs 🟥
55′
Jamie Jacobs ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
55′
M. Breij 🔁
↦ D. Sambissa
58′
64′
🔁 M. Lahdo
↦ M. van Brederode
64′
🔁 Y. Sugawara
↦ P. Hatzidiakos
S. van der Water 🔁
↦ M. Paulissen
78′
M. Smit 🔁
↦ R. Uldriķis
78′
J. ter Heide 🔁
↦ R. Balk
84′
88′
🔁 Y. Barası
↦ H. Evjen
90′
J. Clasie 0–1
M. Lahdo
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cambuur

4-3-3
1 João Virgínia G
24 S. van Wermeskerken D
15 M. Tol D
33 F. Smand D
16 A. Bangura D
8 J. Jacobs M
6 M. Hoedemakers M
10 M. Paulissen M
18 D. Sambissa F
28 R. Uldriķis F
30 R. Balk F
Bench (11)
14 M. Breij
11 S. van der Water
39 M. Smit
2 J. ter Heide
31 B. Minnema
27 S. Sylla
12 R. Ruiter
22 J. van der Meer
3 C. Mac-Intosch
5 D. Schmidt
9 T. Boere

Coach: H. de Jong

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
12 H. Verhulst G
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
31 S. Beukema D
4 B. Martins Indi D
5 M. Kerkez D
6 T. Reijnders M
8 J. Clasie M
18 H. Evjen M
10 D. de Wit M
33 M. van Brederode M
9 Vangelis Pavlidis F
Bench (9)
7 J. Odgaard
34 M. de Wit
23 M. Lahdo
2 Y. Sugawara
17 Y. Barası
1 P. Vindahl
14 P. Koopmeiners
13 S. Westerveld
22 M. Dekker

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,46
U
3,89
B ✓
1,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Dieperink · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.