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La Liga
Referee: Javier Iglesias
Cadiz
T T T T S
0–0
Full-time
Villarreal
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,2
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
0,2
1,7
Conceded
2,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
10 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 19. · Villarreal 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 6 6 0 0 +11 18
2 Barcelona 6 5 1 0 +17 16
3 Ath Bilbao 7 5 1 1 +12 16
4 Betis 6 5 0 1 +6 15
5 Osasuna 6 4 0 2 +2 12
6 Villarreal 6 3 2 1 +8 11
7 Ath Madrid 6 3 1 2 +4 10
8 Sociedad 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Valencia 6 3 0 3 +5 9
10 Mallorca 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Girona 6 2 1 3 +0 7
12 Vallecano 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Celta 6 2 1 3 -5 7
14 Getafe 6 2 1 3 -6 7
15 Sevilla 6 1 2 3 -4 5
16 Espanol 6 1 1 4 -5 4
17 Almeria 7 1 1 5 -7 4
18 Valladolid 6 1 1 4 -8 4
19 Cadiz 6 1 0 5 -13 3
20 Elche 6 0 1 5 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Villarreal
Rubén Alcaraz 🟨
36′
37′
🟨 Gerónimo Rulli
38′
🟨 Francis Coquelin
Half-time 0–0
Iván Alejo 🟨
49′
A. Lozano 🔁
↦ T. Bongonda
59′
Lucas Pérez 🔁
↦ Fede
59′
Álex 🔁
↦ Álvaro Negredo
59′
67′
🔁 A. Danjuma
↦ F. Coquelin
José Mari 🔁
↦ Rubén Alcaraz
69′
75′
🟨 Alejandro Baena
83′
🔁 S. Chukwueze
↦ N. Jackson
84′
🔁 José Luis Morales
↦ G. Lo Celso
Zaldúa 🔁
↦ Alejo
92′
Isaac Carcelén 🟥
93′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
20 Isaac Carcelén D
23 Luis Hernández D
32 Víctor Chust D
22 A. Espino D
11 Alejo M
24 Fede M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
10 T. Bongonda M
7 Sobrino F
18 Álvaro Negredo F
Bench (12)
9 A. Lozano
15 Lucas Pérez
8 Álex
6 José Mari
2 Zaldúa
17 A. Mabil
3 Fali Jiménez
21 S. Arzamendia
13 David Gil
16 Juan Cala
14 B. Ocampo
36 Antonio Blanco

Coach: Sergio

Villarreal

4-4-2
13 G. Rulli G
2 Kiko Femenía D
3 Raúl Albiol D
4 Pau Torres D
24 Pedraza D
17 G. Lo Celso M
6 É. Capoue M
10 Dani Parejo M
19 F. Coquelin M
16 Álex Baena F
15 N. Jackson F
Bench (9)
9 A. Danjuma
11 S. Chukwueze
22 José Luis Morales
21 Yeremi Pino
20 Manu Morlanes
23 A. Mandi
12 J. Mojica
35 F. Jörgensen
5 Jorge Cuenca

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,68
U ✓
3,97
B
1,62
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Iglesias · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.