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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

Austria Vienna

U U S T S

0–3

Full-time

Sturm Graz

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

44%

56%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

89%

33%

Both score Ø 56%

67%

44%

Average goals

3,6

2,1

Scored

2,0

1,6

Conceded

1,6

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

11 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 12

2 Blocked shots 1

9 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Austria Vienna 4. · Sturm Graz 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	7	2	1	+18	23
2	LASK	10	5	4	1	+8	19
3	Sturm Graz	9	5	3	1	+9	18
4	Austria Vienna	9	4	3	2	+4	15
5	SK Rapid	9	4	2	3	+4	14
6	Wolfsberger AC	10	4	2	4	+1	14
7	A. Klagenfurt	10	4	2	4	-1	14
8	A. Lustenau	10	3	3	4	-6	12
9	Tirol	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	Altach	10	2	2	6	-11	8
11	Hartberg	9	2	1	6	-9	7
12	Ried	10	1	2	7	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	4	2	0	+8	14
2	Sturm Graz	5	3	1	1	+6	10
3	LASK	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Austria Vienna	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	A. Lustenau	5	2	1	2	-4	7
6	Hartberg	5	2	0	3	-3	6
7	Tirol	5	1	2	2	-6	5
8	SK Rapid	4	1	1	2	-2	4
9	A. Klagenfurt	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Wolfsberger AC	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	Altach	5	1	1	3	-4	4
12	Ried	5	1	1	3	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SK Rapid	5	3	1	1	+6	10
2	Wolfsberger AC	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	A. Klagenfurt	6	3	1	2	+1	10
4	Salzburg	4	3	0	1	+10	9
5	LASK	5	2	3	0	+5	9
6	Sturm Graz	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Austria Vienna	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Tirol	5	2	0	3	+0	6
9	A. Lustenau	5	1	2	2	-2	5
10	Altach	5	1	1	3	-7	4
11	Hartberg	4	0	1	3	-6	1
12	Ried	5	0	1	4	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.