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Conference League
Referee: M Al Emara
Nordsjaelland
S S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Spartak Trnava
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Spartak Trnava
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/9 matches
Win Ø 52%
71%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
43%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
29%
78%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
2,6
1,4
Conceded
0,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,86 xG 0,81
69% Possession 31%
15 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Oct -23 Spartak Trnava – Nordsjaelland 0–2

Match report

Nordsjaelland Spartak Trnava
1–0 M. Ingvartsen ⚽
32′
Half-time 1–1
61′
⚽ M. Ďuriš 1–1
K. Ofori
64′
ℹ️ Michal Ďuriš
VAR: Goal confirmed
M. Dorgeles 🔁
↦ C. Rasmussen
65′
A. Schjelderup 🔁
↦ B. Nygren
71′
Z. Sertdemir 🔁
↦ D. Svensson
71′
73′
🔁 R. Procházka
↦ M. Bukata
75′
🔁 S. Štefánik
↦ P. Azango
83′
🔁 J. Paur
↦ M. Ďuriš
91′
🟨 Jakub Paur
93′
🟨 Dominik Takáč
C. Harder 🔁
↦ I. Osman
93′
94′
🟨 Roman Procházka
97′
🟨 Lukáš Štetina
Andreas Schjelderup 🟨
98′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
19 L. Hey D
30 J. Jensen-Abbew D
39 A. Nagalo D
5 M. Frese D
9 B. Nygren M
6 J. Tverskov M
27 D. Svensson M
17 C. Rasmussen F
7 M. Ingvartsen F
14 I. Osman F
Bench (12)
29 M. Dorgeles
8 A. Schjelderup
21 Z. Sertdemir
40 C. Harder
4 K. Hansen
42 K. Barslund
43 S. Egeli
24 L. Høgsberg
25 C. Eriksson
15 E. Marxen
12 R. Ascone
45 N. Markmann

Coach: J. Thorup

Spartak Trnava

4-3-3
71 D. Takáč G
24 K. Koštrna D
2 L. Štetina D
26 S. Kóša D
23 E. Daniel D
28 M. Bukata M
80 A. Zeljković M
25 F. Bainovič M
97 K. Ofori F
57 M. Ďuriš F
11 P. Azango F
Bench (9)
6 R. Procházka
8 S. Štefánik
17 J. Paur
19 M. Ristovski
13 M. Ujlaky
72 M. Vantruba
14 R. Peña
18 M. Šulek
5 M. Breznik

Coach: M. Gašparík

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.