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Conference League
Referee: R Schröder
Cukaricki
T T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Fiorentina
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cukaricki Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
3,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
0%
40%
Points per game
0,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 37%
33%
40%
Average goals
4,0
3,4
Scored
0,3
2,4
Conceded
3,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-3,3
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,68 xG 1,32
32% Possession 68%
3 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Oct -23 Fiorentina – Cukaricki 6–0

Match report

Cukaricki Fiorentina
Ibrahima Mame Ndiaye 🟨
6′
8′
⚽ M'Bala Nzola 0–1
Sunday Adetunji 🟨
40′
44′
🟨 Cristiano Biraghi
Half-time 0–1
Bojica Nikčević 🟨
47′
55′
🔁 F. Parisi
↦ C. Biraghi
55′
🔁 R. Mandragora
↦ A. Duncan
55′
🔁 J. Brekalo
↦ J. Ikoné
M. Cvetković 🔁
↦ Đ. Ivanović
67′
V. Jovanović 🔁
↦ O. Vranješ
67′
72′
🔁 C. Kouamé
↦ MBala Nzola
I. Miladinović 🔁
↦ I. NDiaye
80′
83′
🟨 Fabiano Parisi
84′
🔁 Arthur
↦ R. Mandragora
L. Singh 🔁
↦ S. Kovač
86′
Luther Singh 🟨
96′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cukaricki

5-3-2
24 N. Filipović G
72 I. N'Diaye D
4 B. Kovačević D
22 O. Vranješ D
3 N. Tošić D
47 B. Nikčević D
21 N. Stanković M
14 S. Sissoko M
77 S. Kovač M
10 Đ. Ivanović F
9 S. Adetunji F
Bench (10)
91 M. Cvetković
18 V. Jovanović
45 I. Miladinović
17 L. Singh
65 L. Stojanović
8 L. Stojanović
2 V. Rogan
88 M. Arsović
1 N. Belić
23 F. Samurović

Coach: I. Matić

Fiorentina

4-3-3
53 O. Christensen G
70 N. Pierozzi D
4 N. Milenković D
16 L. Ranieri D
3 C. Biraghi D
5 G. Bonaventura M
8 M. Lopez M
32 A. Duncan M
11 J. Ikoné F
18 M'Bala Nzola F
7 R. Sottil F
Bench (12)
65 F. Parisi
38 R. Mandragora
77 J. Brekalo
99 C. Kouamé
6 Arthur
72 A. Barák
10 N. González
19 G. Infantino
28 L. Martínez Quarta
37 P. Comuzzo
26 Y. Mina
1 P. Terracciano

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.