← Match Finder
Europa League
Referee: C Pawson
Qarabag
S U S S T
0–1
Full-time
Leverkusen
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Qarabag Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,3
3,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/3 matches
Win Ø 86%
71%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
43%
100%
Both score Ø 62%
57%
67%
Average goals
2,6
4,3
Scored
1,4
3,7
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+3,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,86 xG 1,67
38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Oct -23 Leverkusen – Qarabag 5–1

Match report

Qarabag Leverkusen
Kevin Medina 🟨
25′
Marko Vešović 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 J. Hofmann
↦ A. Adli
61′
🔁 J. Frimpong
↦ N. Tella
68′
🟨 Florian Wirtz
Júlio Romão 🟨
69′
69′
🟨 Granit Xhaka
M. Medvedev 🔁
↦ M. Vešović
83′
T. Bayramov 🔁
↦ Y. Benzia
83′
Patrick Andrade 🔁
↦ Leandro Andrade
83′
L. Gugeshashvili 🔁
↦ A. Lunev
85′
B. Hüseynov 🔁
↦ E. Cəfərquliyev
89′
92′
ℹ️ Alejandro Grimaldo
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Luka Gugeshashvili 🟨
93′
94′
V. Boniface 0–1
Toral Bayramov 🟨
96′
97′
🔁 A. Hložek
↦ F. Wirtz
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-1-4-1
99 A. Lunev G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
6 Júlio Romão M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
8 M. Janković M
10 A. Zoubir M
18 Juninho F
Bench (12)
5 M. Medvedev
27 T. Bayramov
66 Patrick Andrade
23 L. Gugeshashvili
55 B. Hüseynov
20 R. Almeyda
4 R. Məmmədov
30 A. Hüseynov
17 H. Keyta
19 R. Xhixha
90 N. Axundzadə
89 A. Ramazanov

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
17 M. Kovář G
2 J. Stanišić D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Hincapié D
19 N. Tella M
34 G. Xhaka M
8 R. Andrich M
20 Álex Grimaldo M
10 F. Wirtz F
21 A. Adli F
22 V. Boniface F
Bench (9)
7 J. Hofmann
30 J. Frimpong
23 A. Hložek
6 O. Kossounou
47 A. Aourir
1 L. Hrádecký
32 G. Puerta
18 N. Mbamba
36 N. Lomb

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.