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Europa League
Referee: R Saggi
Freiburg
S S T T U
5–0
Full-time
TSC Backa Topola
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg TSC Backa Topola
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 82%
83%
80%
Average goals
3,8
4,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,2
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,78 xG 0,16
63% Possession 37%
29 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Oct -23 TSC Backa Topola – Freiburg 1–3

Match report

Freiburg TSC Backa Topola
1–0 M. Röhl ⚽
M. Eggestein
24′
29′
🟨 Jovan Vlalukin
Philipp Lienhart 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Ćalušić
↦ J. Vlalukin
46′
🔁 A. Ćirković
↦ N. Kuveljić
2–0 M. Eggestein ⚽
V. Grifo
56′
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ M. Röhl
57′
67′
🔁 M. Radin
↦ I. Đakovac
67′
🔁 M. Pantović
↦ S. Jovanović
3–0 N. Weißhaupt ⚽
V. Grifo
69′
R. Doan 🔁
↦ L. Höler
70′
J. Makengo 🔁
↦ N. Weißhaupt
70′
72′
🔁 M. Cvetković
↦ G. Antonić
L. Kübler 🔁
↦ P. Lienhart
78′
J. Adamu 🔁
↦ V. Grifo
78′
4–0 J. Adamu ⚽
M. Eggestein
80′
5–0 R. Doan ⚽
J. Adamu
92′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Freiburg

3-4-3
1 N. Atubolu G
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
5 M. Gulde D
25 K. Sildillia M
8 M. Eggestein M
27 N. Höfler M
7 N. Weißhaupt M
34 M. Röhl F
9 L. Höler F
32 V. Grifo F
Bench (11)
38 M. Gregoritsch
42 R. Doan
33 J. Makengo
17 L. Kübler
20 J. Adamu
14 Y. Keitel
54 M. Baur
21 F. Müller
4 K. Schmidt
31 B. Uphoff
35 F. Rüdlin

Coach: C. Streich

TSC Backa Topola

5-3-2
12 V. Ilić G
77 J. Vlalukin D
25 M. Đorđević D
18 N. Stojić D
17 G. Antonić D
30 N. Petrović D
21 N. Kuveljić M
37 M. Vulić M
35 I. Đakovac M
8 S. Jovanović F
9 U. Milovanović F
Bench (10)
4 J. Ćalušić
32 A. Ćirković
7 M. Radin
27 M. Pantović
29 M. Cvetković
44 V. Krstić
10 M. Mirchevski
23 N. Jorgić
1 N. Simić
88 B. Sós

Coach: Ž. Lazetić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.