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Ekstraklasa
Referee: L Kuźma
0–1
Full-time
Legia
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
38%
67%
Both score Ø 52%
46%
58%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 8
0 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Radomiak Radom 8. · Legia 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Slask Wroclaw 14 9 3 2 +13 +4.1 30
2 Jagiellonia 14 9 2 3 +15 +6.2 29
3 Lech Poznan 14 8 4 2 +9 -3.4 28
4 Rakow 13 8 2 3 +14 +6.0 26
5 Pogon Szczecin 14 8 1 5 +12 +8.1 25
6 Legia 12 6 2 4 +2 +2.0 20
7 Zaglebie 14 6 2 6 -7 -0.9 20
8 Radomiak Radom 13 5 3 5 +0 +0.5 18
9 Warta Poznan 14 4 5 5 +0 -1.2 17
10 Piast Gliwice 14 2 10 2 +0 +10.6 16
11 Gornik Zabrze 13 4 4 5 -2 -6.8 16
12 Korona Kielce 13 3 6 4 +0 -0.9 15
13 Stal Mielec 14 4 3 7 -3 -6.1 15
14 Widzew Lodz 13 4 3 6 -3 -3.7 15
15 Cracovia 12 3 6 3 -4 -0.2 15
16 Puszcza 14 2 4 8 -14 -8.2 10
17 Ruch Chorzow 13 1 5 7 -11 -3.1 8
18 LKS Lodz 14 2 1 11 -21 -3.2 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Radomiak Radom Legia
Frank Castañeda 🟨
6′
22′
🟨 Steve Kapuadi
28′
Josué 0–1
Rafał Wolski 🟨
34′
37′
🟨 Paweł Wszołek
Half-time 0–1
Lisandro Semedo 🔁
↦ F. Castañeda
57′
62′
🟨 Jurgen Çelhaka
65′
🔁 T. Pekhart
↦ B. Kramer
65′
🔁 J. Elitim
↦ J. Çelhaka
67′
🟨 Tomáš Pekhart
Leonardo Rocha 🔁
↦ R. Wolski
71′
73′
🔁 E. Muçi
↦ Marc Gual
D. Jakubik 🔁
↦ J. Grzesik
79′
Leândro 🔁
↦ Edi Semedo
79′
C. Donis 🔁
↦ M. Kaput
79′
87′
🔁 M. Rosołek
↦ Josué
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Radomiak Radom

4-2-3-1
12 A. Posiadała G
13 J. Grzesik D
29 Raphael Rossi D
92 M. Cestor D
33 D. Abramowicz D
8 Luizão M
6 M. Kaput M
99 Edi Semedo M
27 R. Wolski M
70 F. Castañeda M
96 Pedro Henrique F
Bench (9)
7 Lisandro Semedo
17 Leonardo Rocha
14 D. Jakubik
9 Leândro
77 C. Donis
18 K. Okoniewski
31 K. Bąkowski
5 Hélder Sá
16 M. Cichocki

Coach: C. Gâlcă

Legia

3-4-3
1 K. Tobiasz G
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
8 R. Augustyniak D
3 S. Kapuadi D
13 P. Wszołek M
99 B. Slisz M
21 J. Çelhaka M
17 Gil Dias M
27 Josué F
9 B. Kramer F
28 Marc Gual F
Bench (9)
7 T. Pekhart
22 J. Elitim
20 E. Muçi
39 M. Rosołek
23 G. Kobylak
33 P. Kun
12 R. Pankov
5 Yuri Ribeiro
86 I. Strzałek

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Kuźma · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.