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Conference League
Referee: D Bel
Universitatea Craiova
S S T U S
1–0
Full-time
Mainz
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Universitatea Craiova Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/5 matches
Win Ø 68%
56%
80%
Points per game
1,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 58%
56%
60%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,10 xG 0,38
43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Universitatea Craiova Mainz
12′
🟨 Stefan Bell
24′
🔁 L. Riess
↦ R. Zentner
Adrian Rus 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Potulski
↦ S. Bell
Ștefan Baiaram 🟨
49′
57′
🟨 Nadiem Amiri
62′
🔁 Lee Jae-Sung
↦ B. Bobzien
62′
🔁 P. Nebel
↦ A. Nordin
A. Al Hamlawi 🔁
↦ S. Nsimba
65′
M. Etim 🔁
↦ S. Baiaram
65′
1–0 A. Al Hamlawi ⚽
67′
Nicușor Bancu 🟨
72′
73′
🔁 K. Sano
↦ L. Maloney
A. Cretu 🔁
↦ T. Baluta
83′
Teles 🔁
↦ A. Cicaldau
83′
91′
ℹ️ Kacper Potulski
VAR: Goal cancelled
Pavlo Isenko 🟨
92′
N. Stevanovic 🔁
↦ A. Mekvabishvili
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Universitatea Craiova

3-4-2-1
77 P. Isenko G
3 O. Romanchuk D
28 A. Rus D
6 V. Screciu D
19 V. Mogos M
5 A. Mekvabishvili M
8 T. Baluta M
11 N. Bancu M
20 A. Cicaldau F
10 S. Baiaram F
39 S. Nsimba F
Bench (12)
1 S. J. Lung
21 L. Popescu
2 F. Stefan
4 A. Cretu
9 A. Al Hamlawi
12 M. Etim
14 L. Houri
15 J. Badelj
23 Teles
24 N. Stevanovic
29 L. Basceanu
30 D. Matei

Coach: Filipe Coelho

Mainz

3-4-3
27 R. Zentner G
31 D. Kohr D
16 S. Bell D
25 A. Hanche-Olsen D
30 S. Widmer M
15 L. Maloney M
10 N. Amiri M
22 N. Veratschnig M
37 B. Bobzien F
9 A. Nordin F
14 W. Boving F
Bench (12)
1 L. Riess
33 D. Batz
6 K. Sano
7 Lee Jae-Sung
8 P. Nebel
11 A. Sieb
17 B. Hollerbach
21 D. da Costa
24 S. Kawasaki
42 D. Gleiber
44 N. Weiper
48 K. Potulski

Coach: Urs Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Bel · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.