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Conference League
Referee: Ishmael Barbara
Rakow
T T U U S
2–0
Full-time
Universitatea Craiova
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Universitatea Craiova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
This season — Conference League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,8
2,7
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,60 xG 0,14
57% Possession 43%
22 Shots 4
10 Shots on target 0
8 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Rakow Universitatea Craiova
L. Diaby-Fadiga 🔁
↦ I. Lopez
22′
26′
🟨 Carlos Mora
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Pienko ⚽
K. Struski
47′
52′
ℹ️ Vladimir Screciu
VAR: Card upgrade
53′
🟥 Vladimir Screciu
59′
🔁 O. Romanchuk
↦ A. Cretu
59′
🔁 A. Mekvabishvili
↦ A. Cicaldau
59′
🔁 Teles
↦ S. Baiaram
66′
🟨 Nicușor Bancu
M. Bulat 🔁
↦ T. Pienko
75′
P. Barath 🔁
↦ K. Struski
75′
76′
🔁 L. Houri
↦ T. Baluta
76′
🔁 S. Nsimba
↦ A. Al Hamlawi
2–0 O. Repka ⚽
M. Bulat
80′
P. Makuch 🔁
↦ J. Brunes
86′
B. Mircetic 🔁
↦ O. Repka
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-3
1 K. Trelowski G
7 F. Tudor D
25 B. Racovitan D
4 S. Svarnas D
19 M. Ameyaw M
6 O. Repka M
23 K. Struski M
11 Adriano M
8 T. Pienko F
18 J. Brunes F
10 I. Lopez F
Bench (11)
39 J. Madrzyk
48 O. Zych
2 A. Mosor
5 M. Bulat
9 P. Makuch
44 B. Mircetic
66 A. Konstantopoulos
80 L. Diaby-Fadiga
88 P. Barath
97 I. Seck
99 I. Rondic

Coach: Marek Papszun

Universitatea Craiova

3-1-4-2
77 P. Isenko G
28 A. Rus D
6 V. Screciu D
15 J. Badelj D
8 T. Baluta M
17 C. Mora M
4 A. Cretu M
20 A. Cicaldau M
11 N. Bancu M
9 A. Al Hamlawi F
10 S. Baiaram F
Bench (12)
1 S. J. Lung
2 F. Stefan
3 O. Romanchuk
5 A. Mekvabishvili
12 M. Etim
14 L. Houri
19 V. Mogos
23 Teles
24 N. Stevanovic
29 L. Basceanu
30 D. Matei
39 S. Nsimba

Coach: Mirel Matei Rădoi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.