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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Lasyk
Cracovia
S U U S U
0–0
Full-time
Jagiellonia
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 47%
40%
53%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
68%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
68%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,9
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,40 xG 0,86
43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 5. · Jagiellonia 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 19 10 5 4 +13 -2.7 35
2 Wisla Plock 20 8 9 3 +9 +2.9 33
3 Gornik Zabrze 20 10 3 7 +5 -2.5 33
4 Zaglebie 20 8 7 5 +6 +0.5 31
5 Cracovia 20 8 7 5 +5 +3.5 31
6 Korona Kielce 21 8 6 7 +4 -2.6 30
7 Rakow 20 9 3 8 +2 +3.9 30
8 Lechia Gdansk 20 8 5 7 +2 -1.6 29
9 Lech Poznan 20 7 8 5 +1 +11.7 29
10 Radomiak Radom 20 7 6 7 +3 +1.5 27
11 GKS Katowice 20 8 3 9 -2 -6.9 27
12 Piast Gliwice 20 7 5 8 +1 -6.8 26
13 Motor Lublin 20 5 9 6 -7 -2.7 24
14 Pogon Szczecin 20 6 4 10 -5 +8.8 22
15 Arka Gdynia 19 6 4 9 -17 -6.4 22
16 Legia 21 4 9 8 -3 +1.5 21
17 Widzew Lodz 20 6 2 12 -5 +2.9 20
18 Nieciecza 20 5 5 10 -12 -4.9 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Jagiellonia
21′
🟨 Andy Pelmard
Mateusz Praszelik 🟨
30′
Brahim Traoré 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Y. Kobayashi
↦ A. Pelmard
Martin Minchev 🟨
51′
51′
🟨 Bernardo Vital
B. Selan 🔁
↦ M. Dominguez
62′
K. Zahiroleslam 🔁
↦ M. Minchev
62′
62′
🔁 K. Jozwiak
↦ A. Pozo
M. Klich 🔁
↦ M. Praszelik
74′
D. Kameri 🔁
↦ P. Sans
74′
74′
🔁 D. Drachal
↦ M. Nahuel
78′
🟨 Afimico Pululu
80′
🟨 Yuki Kobayashi
M. Tabisz 🔁
↦ A. Hasic
90′
90′
🔁 D. Rallis
↦ A. Pululu
90′
🔁 L. Flach
↦ S. Bazdar
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cracovia

4-1-4-1
13 S. Madejski G
21 B. Sutalo D
4 G. Henriksson D
61 B. Traore D
79 D. Pila D
6 A. Al Ammari M
14 A. Hasic M
10 M. Dominguez M
7 M. Praszelik M
11 P. Sans M
17 M. Minchev F
Bench (11)
27 H. Ravas
15 K. Glik
19 M. Tabisz
43 M. Klich
5 B. Selan
99 G. Charpentier
70 D. Kameri
9 W. Bogacz
18 K. Zahiroleslam
22 B. Biedrzycki
91 K. Golonka

Coach: Luka Elsner

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1
50 S. Abramowicz G
15 N. Wojtuszek D
13 B. Vital D
70 A. Pelmard D
27 B. Wdowik D
6 T. Romanczuk M
86 B. Mazurek M
7 A. Pozo M
14 S. Bazdar M
19 M. Nahuel M
10 A. Pululu F
Bench (10)
66 A. Damasiewicz
4 Y. Kobayashi
8 D. Drachal
9 D. Rallis
17 Y. Sylla
23 G. Montoia
31 L. Flach
44 A. Konstantopoulos
72 K. Jozwiak
77 K. Szmyt

Coach: Adrian Siemieniec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Lasyk · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.