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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Brann
S T U S T
2–0
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 56%
61%
50%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
44%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 11
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 1. · Sarpsborg 08 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 18 11 5 2 +11 38
2 Rosenborg 18 11 4 3 +17 37
3 Haugesund 18 10 4 4 +9 34
4 Molde 18 10 3 5 +18 33
5 Sarpsborg 08 18 9 5 4 +14 32
6 Ranheim 18 9 3 6 -2 30
7 Tromso 18 8 2 8 +4 26
8 Kristiansund 18 6 6 6 -1 24
9 Valerenga 18 6 6 6 -7 24
10 Odd 18 6 4 8 +3 22
11 Stromsgodset 18 5 6 7 +3 21
12 Bodo/Glimt 18 4 7 7 -3 19
13 Lillestrom 18 3 6 9 -11 15
14 Stabaek 18 3 6 9 -14 15
15 Start 18 4 3 11 -20 15
16 Sandefjord 18 2 4 12 -21 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Sarpsborg 08
1–0 V. Wormgoor
5′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 S. Skålevik
V. Wormgoor
49′
61′
🔁 G. Vetti
↦ J. Tamm
R. Jenssen 🔁
↦ P. Larsen
70′
D. Bamba 🔁
↦ S. Skålevik
70′
74′
🔁 M. Agger
↦ P. Mortensen
79′
🔁 M. Lund Nielsen
↦ K. Zachariassen
D. Vega 🔁
↦ G. Koomson
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger G
2 T. Teniste D
15 B. Acosta D
3 V. Wormgoor D
5 T. Grøgaard D
17 G. Sørensen F
7 P. Larsen M
8 F. Haugen M
29 K. Barmen M
11 S. Skålevik F
22 G. Koomson F
Bench (7)
16 R. Jenssen
9 D. Bamba
19 D. Vega
4 C. Rismark
12 M. Pettersen
14 L. Marengo
18 A. Karadas

Coach: L. Nilsen

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
78 A. Vasyutin G
16 J. Thomassen D
6 J. Tamm D
4 B. Utvik D
23 H. Singh M
7 O. Halvorsen M
22 J. Tveita D
17 K. Zachariassen M
69 P. Mortensen F
19 K. Larsen
45 J. Larsen F
Bench (7)
15 G. Vetti
18 M. Agger
8 M. Lund Nielsen
10 T. Heintz
11 J. Jørgensen
31 A. Falch
77 A. Askar

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.