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Premier League
Referee: Michael Oliver
Stoke
T U U
0–1
Full-time
West Brom
T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 4
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stoke 16. · West Brom 20. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Leicester 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Man United 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Liverpool 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Arsenal 4 2 1 1 +0 7
6 Crystal Palace 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Swansea 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Everton 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Norwich 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 West Ham 3 1 0 2 +0 3
12 Watford 3 0 3 0 +0 3
13 Bournemouth 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Aston Villa 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Tottenham 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Stoke 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Newcastle 4 0 2 2 -3 2
18 Southampton 3 0 2 1 -3 2
19 Sunderland 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 West Brom 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stoke West Brom
Ibrahim Afellay 🟥
25′
25′
🟨 Craig Gardner
Charlie Adam 🟥
31′
35′
🔁 R. Lambert
↦ C. Yacob
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 C. McManaman
↦ C. Gardner
48′
⚽ S. Rondón 0–1
R. Lambert
M. Wilson 🔁
↦ G. Johnson
63′
63′
🔁 C. Gamboa
↦ J. McClean
Erik Pieters 🟨
66′
M. Arnautović 🔁
↦ X. Shaqiri
68′
69′
🟨 Cristian Gamboa
S. Ireland 🔁
↦ M. Diouf
81′
84′
🟨 Gareth McAuley
90′
🟨 Rickie Lambert
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Stoke

1 J. Butland G
3 E. Pieters D
8 G. Johnson D
20 G. Cameron D
5 Muniesa D
16 C. Adam M
14 I. Afellay M
6 G. Whelan M
15 M. van Ginkel M
18 M. Diouf F
22 X. Shaqiri M
Bench (7)
12 M. Wilson
10 M. Arnautović
7 S. Ireland
11 Joselu
24 S. Given
25 P. Crouch
27 Bojan

West Brom

13 G. Myhill G
3 J. Olsson D
6 J. Lescott D
23 G. McAuley D
25 C. Dawson D
8 C. Gardner M
7 J. Morrison M
24 D. Fletcher M
5 C. Yacob M
14 J. McClean M
33 S. Rondón F
Bench (7)
17 R. Lambert
19 C. McManaman
16 C. Gamboa
9 B. Ideye
10 V. Anichebe
31 S. Gnabry
38 J. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.