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Championship
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
Wolves
S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Charlton
S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Charlton
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Championship · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Wolves 17. · Charlton 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ipswich 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Brighton 4 3 1 0 +3 10
3 Charlton 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Milton Keynes Dons 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Hull 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 QPR 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Leeds 5 1 4 0 +1 7
8 Cardiff 4 1 3 0 +2 6
9 Middlesbrough 4 1 2 1 +2 5
10 Birmingham 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Sheffield Weds 4 1 2 1 +1 5
12 Nott'm Forest 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Preston 4 1 2 1 +0 5
14 Burnley 4 1 2 1 -1 5
15 Brentford 3 1 1 1 +1 4
16 Derby 5 0 4 1 -1 4
17 Wolves 4 1 1 2 -2 4
18 Bristol City 4 1 1 2 -3 4
19 Reading 4 0 3 1 -1 3
20 Huddersfield 4 0 3 1 -2 3
21 Blackburn 5 0 3 2 -2 3
22 Bolton 5 0 3 2 -4 3
23 Fulham 4 0 2 2 -2 2
24 Rotherham 4 0 1 3 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Charlton
18′
🔁 Vetokele
↦ S. Makienok
23′
🟨 Ahmed Kashi
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Ba
↦ K. Ahearne-Grant
55′
J. Guðmunds­son 0–1
Vetokele
S. Ojo 🔁
↦ K. McDonald
62′
A. Le Fondre 🔁
↦ N. Dicko
62′
1–1 D. Edwards
65′
2–1 A. Le Fondre
S. Ojo
85′
J. Wallace 🔁
↦ B. Afobe
88′
90′
🔁 J. Jackson
↦ Z. Bergdich
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Wolves

1 C. Ikeme G
3 S. Golbourne D
2 M. Doherty M
23 E. Ebanks-Landell D
16 C. Coady D
30 K. Hause D
7 J. Henry M
4 D. Edwards M
11 K. McDonald M
9 N. Dicko F
10 B. Afobe F
Bench (7)
20 S. Ojo
29 A. Le Fondre
12 J. Wallace
18 D. Iorfa
19 J. Price
26 E. Martínez
48 B. Enobakhare

Charlton

30 N. Pope G
20 C. Solly D
19 Z. Bergdich D
5 P. Bauer D
21 M. Fox D
12 A. Diarra M
7 J. Guðmunds­son M
3 A. Kashi M
8 J. Cousins M
9 S. Makienok F
18 K. Ahearne-Grant M
Bench (7)
14 Vetokele
22 E. Ba
4 J. Jackson
6 N. Sarr
24 R. Charles-Cook
26 H. Lennon
27 D. Mitov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.