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Ligue 1
Referee: Nicolas Rainville
Caen
S S T
0–4
Full-time
Lyon
U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

35% Possession 65%
14 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 6. · Lyon 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Bastia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Angers 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Nantes 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Rennes 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Caen 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Reims 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Monaco 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Nice 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Toulouse 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 St Etienne 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Lyon 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Marseille 4 1 0 3 +2 3
14 Guingamp 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Bordeaux 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Lorient 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Lille 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Troyes 3 0 2 1 -6 2
19 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Montpellier 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Lyon
18′
⚽ N. Fekir 0–1
C. Tolisso
44′
⚽ N. Fekir 0–2
C. Tolisso
Half-time 0–3
57′
⚽ N. Fekir 0–3
M. Valbuena
H. Bazile 🔁
↦ J. Louis
63′
Chaker Alhadhur 🟨
67′
70′
🔁 A. Mvuemba
↦ C. Tolisso
Damien Da Silva 🟥
73′
73′
🔁 C. Jallet
↦ Rafael
N. Seube 🔁
↦ J. Féret
77′
81′
🔁 M. Cornet
↦ M. Valbuena
87′
⚽ C. Beauvue 0–4
N. Fekir
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Caen

1 R. Vercoutre G
28 D. Da Silva D
13 S. Ben Youssef D
12 D. Appiah D
21 C. Alhadhur M
11 V. Bessat D
25 J. Féret M
6 J. Delaplace M
18 J. Adéoti M
9 A. Delort F
14 J. Louis M
Bench (7)
20 H. Bazile
2 N. Seube
30 P. Reulet
10 L. Nangis
8 J. Nkololo
19 J. Leborgne
29 F. Le Joncour

Lyon

1 Anthony Lopes G
15 J. Morel D
2 M. Yanga-Mbiwa D
20 Rafael D
23 S. Umtiti D
19 M. Valbuena M
21 M. Gonalons M
12 J. Ferri M
18 N. Fekir M
8 C. Tolisso M
9 C. Beauvue F
Bench (7)
28 A. Mvuemba
13 C. Jallet
27 M. Cornet
30 M. Gorgelin
17 S. Malbranque
36 A. Kalulu
5 M. Biševac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Nicolas Rainville · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.