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Premier League
Referee: Robert Madley
Arsenal
S S U T U
3–1
Full-time
Sunderland
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 39%
57%
21%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

72% Possession 28%
16 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Arsenal 4. · Sunderland 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 15 9 2 4 +14 29
2 Leicester 14 8 5 1 +8 29
3 Man United 14 8 4 2 +10 28
4 Arsenal 14 8 3 3 +12 27
5 Tottenham 14 6 7 1 +13 25
6 Liverpool 14 6 5 3 +3 23
7 Crystal Palace 14 7 1 6 +5 22
8 West Ham 14 6 4 4 +4 22
9 Stoke 15 6 4 5 -1 22
10 Everton 14 5 6 3 +8 21
11 Southampton 14 5 5 4 +3 20
12 Watford 14 5 4 5 -1 19
13 West Brom 14 5 3 6 -5 18
14 Chelsea 14 4 3 7 -6 15
15 Swansea 14 3 5 6 -5 14
16 Norwich 14 3 4 7 -8 13
17 Sunderland 14 3 3 8 -10 12
18 Bournemouth 14 2 4 8 -13 10
19 Newcastle 14 2 4 8 -16 10
20 Aston Villa 14 1 2 11 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arsenal Sunderland
1–0 J. Campbell
M. Özil
33′
Laurent Koscielny 🟨
44′
45′
O. Giroud 2–0
own goal
Half-time 2–0
62′
🔁 J. Rodwell
↦ O. Toivonen
3–0 O. Giroud
A. Ramsey
63′
T. Walcott 🔁
↦ A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
64′
67′
🔁 A. Johnson
↦ F. Borini
73′
🔁 J. Lens
↦ S. Fletcher
K. Gibbs 🔁
↦ J. Campbell
76′
80′
🟨 DeAndre Yedlin
C. Chambers 🔁
↦ O. Giroud
80′
4–0 A. Ramsey
93′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

33 P. Čech G
4 P. Mertesacker D
18 Nacho Monreal D
6 L. Koscielny D
24 Bellerín D
11 M. Özil M
20 M. Flamini M
16 A. Ramsey M
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M
12 O. Giroud F
28 J. Campbell M
Bench (7)
14 T. Walcott
3 K. Gibbs
21 C. Chambers
2 M. Debuchy
5 Gabriel Paulista
13 D. Ospina
45 A. Iwobi

Sunderland

1 C. Pantilimon G
15 Y. Kaboul D
16 J. O'Shea D
22 S. Coates D
3 P. van Aanholt M
24 D. Yedlin M
21 Y. M'Vila M
41 D. Watmore F
26 S. Fletcher F
20 O. Toivonen M
9 F. Borini F
Bench (7)
8 J. Rodwell
11 A. Johnson
17 J. Lens
2 B. Jones
14 Jordi Gómez
19 D. Graham
25 V. Mannone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Madley · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.