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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

De Graafschap

T T T T S

0–1

Full-time

Utrecht

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 14/12 matches

Win Ø 16%

25%

Points per game

0,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

71%

50%

Both score Ø 66%

57%

75%

Average goals

3,4

3,2

Scored

0,9

1,5

Conceded

2,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

7 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

4 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match De Graafschap 18. · Utrecht 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	11	2	1	+31	35
2	Feyenoord	14	10	2	2	+18	32
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	9	4	1	+21	31
4	Heracles	13	8	2	3	+10	26
5	Vitesse	14	7	3	4	+15	24
6	Groningen	14	7	3	4	+0	24
7	Nijmegen	14	7	2	5	+4	23
8	Zwolle	13	6	3	4	+4	21
9	AZ Alkmaar	15	5	3	7	-4	18
10	Heerenveen	14	4	5	5	-1	17
11	Excelsior	15	4	5	6	-7	17
12	Den Haag	15	3	7	5	-5	16
13	Roda	14	3	5	6	-15	14
14	Utrecht	12	3	4	5	-2	13
15	Willem II	14	2	5	7	-5	11
16	Twente	15	2	4	9	-20	10
17	Cambuur	14	0	7	7	-23	7
18	De Graafschap	14	1	2	11	-21	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Groningen	7	6	1	0	+10	19
3	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	1	0	+10	16
4	Nijmegen	7	5	1	1	+7	16
5	Heracles	7	5	1	1	+7	16
6	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+18	15
7	Vitesse	7	5	0	2	+11	15
8	Utrecht	6	3	3	0	+5	12
9	Heerenveen	7	3	3	1	+4	12
10	Zwolle	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Roda	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Den Haag	7	1	5	1	+0	8
14	Excelsior	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	Twente	7	2	1	4	-8	7
16	Willem II	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Cambuur	8	0	4	4	-14	4
18	De Graafschap	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	2	0	+13	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	4	3	1	+11	15
3	Feyenoord	7	4	1	2	+5	13
4	Zwolle	6	3	1	2	+5	10
5	Heracles	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Vitesse	7	2	3	2	+4	9
7	Excelsior	8	2	3	3	-4	9
8	AZ Alkmaar	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-5	8
10	Nijmegen	7	2	1	4	-3	7
11	Willem II	7	1	2	4	-4	5
12	Heerenveen	7	1	2	4	-5	5
13	Groningen	7	1	2	4	-10	5
14	De Graafschap	7	1	1	5	-10	4
15	Roda	6	1	1	4	-12	4
16	Cambuur	6	0	3	3	-9	3
17	Twente	8	0	3	5	-12	3
18	Utrecht	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.