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Bundesliga
Referee: Daniel Siebert
FC Koln
T U S U U
0–1
Full-time
Augsburg
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
3,5
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
36%
14%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
43%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
22 Shots 22
8 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 10. · Augsburg 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 14 13 1 0 +37 40
2 Dortmund 14 10 2 2 +21 32
3 Wolfsburg 14 7 4 3 +8 25
4 Schalke 04 15 7 3 5 +0 24
5 M'gladbach 14 7 2 5 +6 23
6 Hertha 14 7 2 5 +1 23
7 Leverkusen 14 6 3 5 +0 21
8 Hamburg 14 6 3 5 -1 21
9 Mainz 14 6 2 6 +0 20
10 FC Koln 14 5 5 4 -3 20
11 FC Ingolstadt 04 14 5 4 5 -4 19
12 Darmstadt 14 3 6 5 -5 15
13 Ein Frankfurt 14 3 5 6 -4 14
14 Hannover 15 4 2 9 -9 14
15 Werder Bremen 14 4 1 9 -14 13
16 Augsburg 14 2 4 8 -8 10
17 Stuttgart 14 3 1 10 -17 10
18 Hoffenheim 14 1 6 7 -8 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Augsburg
Half-time 0–0
P. Olkowski 🔁
↦ S. Zoller
46′
54′
🟨 Paul Verhaegh
56′
🟨 Markus Feulner
58′
🟨 Daniel Baier
64′
R. Bobadilla 0–1
M. Jojić 🔁
↦ K. Vogt
71′
Y. Ōsako 🔁
↦ A. Modeste
75′
Jonas Hector 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 Dong-Won Ji
↦ D. Baier
83′
🟨 Raúl Bobadilla
Dominic Maroh 🟨
86′
86′
🔁 T. Matavž
↦ R. Bobadilla
89′
🔁 C. Janker
↦ A. Esswein
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

FC Koln

1 T. Horn G
5 D. Maroh D
14 J. Hector M
3 D. Heintz D
33 M. Lehmann M
7 M. Risse M
6 K. Vogt D
21 L. Bittencourt M
27 A. Modeste F
15 P. Hosiner F
11 S. Zoller F
Bench (7)
16 P. Olkowski
8 M. Jojić
13 Y. Ōsako
18 T. Kessler
29 D. Švento
31 Y. Gerhardt
4 F. Sørensen

Augsburg

35 M. Hitz G
18 J. Callsen-Bracker D
2 P. Verhaegh D
5 R. Klavan D
31 P. Max D
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
11 A. Esswein M
19 Ja-Cheol Koo M
21 D. Kohr M
25 R. Bobadilla F
Bench (7)
22 Dong-Won Ji
23 T. Matavž
16 C. Janker
1 A. Manninger
7 Halil Altıntop
8 M. Feulner
15 P. Trochowski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniel Siebert · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.