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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Zwayer

M'gladbach

S S U S U

3–1

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

2,8

2,3

Conceded

1,2

0,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+2,2

This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 72%

50%

93%

Points per game

1,6

2,9

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

79%

Both score Ø 50%

64%

36%

Average goals

3,6

3,4

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

1,6

0,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+2,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

13 Shots 22

6 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 9

6 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 5. · Bayern Munich 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	13	1	0	+37	40
2	Dortmund	14	10	2	2	+21	32
3	Wolfsburg	14	7	4	3	+8	25
4	Schalke 04	15	7	3	5	+0	24
5	M'gladbach	14	7	2	5	+6	23
6	Hertha	14	7	2	5	+1	23
7	Leverkusen	14	6	3	5	+0	21
8	Hamburg	14	6	3	5	-1	21
9	Mainz	14	6	2	6	+0	20
10	FC Koln	14	5	5	4	-3	20
11	FC Ingolstadt 04	14	5	4	5	-4	19
12	Darmstadt	14	3	6	5	-5	15
13	Ein Frankfurt	14	3	5	6	-4	14
14	Hannover	15	4	2	9	-9	14
15	Werder Bremen	14	4	1	9	-14	13
16	Augsburg	14	2	4	8	-8	10
17	Stuttgart	14	3	1	10	-17	10
18	Hoffenheim	14	1	6	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	8	0	0	+27	24
2	Dortmund	7	6	1	0	+17	19
3	Wolfsburg	7	6	1	0	+15	19
4	Schalke 04	8	4	2	2	+1	14
5	Hertha	6	4	1	1	+4	13
6	M'gladbach	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Mainz	8	4	0	4	+0	12
8	Leverkusen	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	FC Koln	7	2	4	1	+1	10
10	Hamburg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	FC Ingolstadt 04	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Darmstadt	8	1	4	3	-4	7
13	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Hannover	7	2	0	5	-3	6
15	Stuttgart	7	2	0	5	-9	6
16	Augsburg	8	1	2	5	-5	5
17	Hoffenheim	7	0	4	3	-4	4
18	Werder Bremen	7	1	0	6	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Dortmund	7	4	1	2	+4	13
3	Hamburg	8	4	1	3	-2	13
4	FC Ingolstadt 04	8	3	3	2	-2	12
5	M'gladbach	7	3	1	3	+3	10
6	Schalke 04	7	3	1	3	-1	10
7	Leverkusen	7	3	1	3	-1	10
8	Werder Bremen	7	3	1	3	-3	10
9	Hertha	8	3	1	4	-3	10
10	FC Koln	7	3	1	3	-4	10
11	Mainz	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Darmstadt	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	Ein Frankfurt	8	2	2	4	-2	8
14	Hannover	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Wolfsburg	7	1	3	3	-7	6
16	Augsburg	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Hoffenheim	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Stuttgart	7	1	1	5	-8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.