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Championship
Referee: Oliver Langford
Brentford
S T U S U
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Milton Keynes Dons
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Championship · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
39%
22%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
39%
Both score Ø 50%
61%
39%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
19 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brentford 12. · Milton Keynes Dons 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 19 12 3 4 +17 39
2 Brighton 17 10 7 0 +10 37
3 Hull 17 10 5 2 +18 35
4 Burnley 18 9 7 2 +9 34
5 Derby 17 9 6 2 +13 33
6 Birmingham 18 8 4 6 +5 28
7 Ipswich 19 7 7 5 +1 28
8 Reading 19 7 6 6 +4 27
9 Sheffield Weds 17 7 6 4 +3 27
10 Cardiff 18 6 8 4 +3 26
11 QPR 19 7 5 7 -1 26
12 Brentford 18 7 4 7 -1 25
13 Fulham 18 5 7 6 +1 22
14 Blackburn 18 4 9 5 +1 21
15 Wolves 18 5 6 7 -1 21
16 Nott'm Forest 18 5 5 8 -3 20
17 Leeds 18 4 7 7 -5 19
18 Preston 18 3 9 6 -3 18
19 Milton Keynes Dons 18 4 4 10 -9 16
20 Bristol City 18 3 7 8 -12 16
21 Charlton 18 4 4 10 -14 16
22 Huddersfield 18 3 6 9 -11 15
23 Rotherham 18 4 3 11 -12 15
24 Bolton 18 1 9 8 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brentford Milton Keynes Dons
Jack O'Connell 🟨
18′
1–0 L. Vibe
J. Bidwell
20′
40′
🟨 Josh Murphy
Half-time 1–0
53′
🔁 D. Powell
↦ Josh Murphy
66′
🔁 S. Gallagher
↦ D. Bowditch
S. Saunders 🔁
↦ Sergi Canós
67′
2–0 A. Judge
71′
73′
🔁 S. Carruthers
↦ D. Poyet
Jota Peleteiro 🔁
↦ R. Woods
80′
P. Hofmann 🔁
↦ L. Vibe
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Brentford

27 D. Button G
3 J. Bidwell D
26 J. Tarkowski D
28 N. Yennaris M
22 J. O'Connell D
20 T. Diagouraga M
18 A. Judge M
17 K. Kerschbaumer M
15 R. Woods M
47 Sergi Canós M
21 L. Vibe F
Bench (7)
7 S. Saunders
23 Jota Peleteiro
11 P. Hofmann
16 J. Bonham
24 A. Gogia
29 Y. Barbet
10 J. McEachran

Milton Keynes Dons

1 David Martin
5 K. McFadzean D
3 D. Lewington D
12 J. Spence D
8 D. Potter M
6 A. Kay D
7 C. Baker M
39 D. Poyet M
9 D. Bowditch M
28 N. Maynard F
31 Josh Murphy M
Bench (7)
17 D. Powell
13 S. Gallagher
14 S. Carruthers
2 L. Hodson
22 C. Cropper
23 C. Benavente
38 R. Hall

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Oliver Langford · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.