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Bundesliga

Referee: Tobias Stieler

Wolfsburg

S S T S U

1–2

Full-time

Dortmund

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,0

4,3

Scored

2,2

3,0

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,7

This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 61%

50%

71%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

43%

86%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

2,7

4,2

Scored

1,6

2,9

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

22 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 5

2 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolfsburg 5. · Dortmund 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	13	1	1	+35	40
2	Dortmund	14	10	2	2	+21	32
3	M'gladbach	15	8	2	5	+8	26
4	Hertha	15	8	2	5	+2	26
5	Wolfsburg	14	7	4	3	+8	25
6	Schalke 04	15	7	3	5	+0	24
7	Mainz	15	7	2	6	+2	23
8	Leverkusen	15	6	3	6	-1	21
9	Hamburg	15	6	3	6	-3	21
10	FC Koln	15	5	5	5	-4	20
11	FC Ingolstadt 04	15	5	5	5	-4	20
12	Darmstadt	14	3	6	5	-5	15
13	Ein Frankfurt	14	3	5	6	-4	14
14	Hannover	15	4	2	9	-9	14
15	Augsburg	15	3	4	8	-7	13
16	Werder Bremen	14	4	1	9	-14	13
17	Hoffenheim	15	1	7	7	-8	10
18	Stuttgart	14	3	1	10	-17	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	8	0	0	+27	24
2	Dortmund	7	6	1	0	+17	19
3	Wolfsburg	7	6	1	0	+15	19
4	M'gladbach	8	5	1	2	+5	16
5	Hertha	7	5	1	1	+5	16
6	Schalke 04	8	4	2	2	+1	14
7	Mainz	8	4	0	4	+0	12
8	Leverkusen	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	FC Koln	8	2	4	2	+0	10
10	Hamburg	7	2	2	3	-1	8
11	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Darmstadt	8	1	4	3	-4	7
13	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Hannover	7	2	0	5	-3	6
15	Stuttgart	7	2	0	5	-9	6
16	Augsburg	8	1	2	5	-5	5
17	Hoffenheim	7	0	4	3	-4	4
18	Werder Bremen	7	1	0	6	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Dortmund	7	4	1	2	+4	13
3	Hamburg	8	4	1	3	-2	13
4	FC Ingolstadt 04	8	3	3	2	-2	12
5	Mainz	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	M'gladbach	7	3	1	3	+3	10
7	Schalke 04	7	3	1	3	-1	10
8	Leverkusen	8	3	1	4	-2	10
9	Werder Bremen	7	3	1	3	-3	10
10	Hertha	8	3	1	4	-3	10
11	FC Koln	7	3	1	3	-4	10
12	Darmstadt	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	Augsburg	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Ein Frankfurt	8	2	2	4	-2	8
15	Hannover	8	2	2	4	-6	8
16	Hoffenheim	8	1	3	4	-4	6
17	Wolfsburg	7	1	3	3	-7	6
18	Stuttgart	7	1	1	5	-8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.