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Championship
Referee: Andy Madley
Derby
U T T T U
1–2
Full-time
Blackburn
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derby Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,2
3,2
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Championship · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 13%
13%
13%
Points per game
0,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
0%
75%
Both score Ø 44%
13%
75%
Average goals
1,1
3,4
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
0,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Derby 20. · Blackburn 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huddersfield 8 6 1 1 +5 19
2 Norwich 8 5 2 1 +4 17
3 Newcastle 8 5 0 3 +10 15
4 Barnsley 8 5 0 3 +8 15
5 Birmingham 8 4 3 1 +4 15
6 Brentford 8 4 2 2 +8 14
7 Brighton 8 4 2 2 +4 14
8 Reading 8 4 2 2 -1 14
9 Fulham 8 3 4 1 +2 13
10 Wolves 8 3 3 2 +1 12
11 Ipswich 8 3 3 2 +1 12
12 Bristol City 8 3 2 3 +1 11
13 Nott'm Forest 8 3 2 3 -1 11
14 Sheffield Weds 8 3 2 3 -2 11
15 Leeds 8 3 1 4 -2 10
16 QPR 8 3 1 4 -4 10
17 Burton Albion 8 2 3 3 +0 9
18 Preston 9 3 0 6 -4 9
19 Aston Villa 8 1 5 2 +0 8
20 Derby 8 1 3 4 -5 6
21 Rotherham 8 1 3 4 -11 6
22 Wigan 9 1 2 6 -3 5
23 Blackburn 8 1 2 5 -7 5
24 Cardiff 8 1 2 5 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Derby Blackburn
29′
🟨 Jason Lowe
37′
🟨 Corry Evans
Half-time 0–0
66′
🔁 D. Graham
↦ S. Gallagher
N. Blackman 🔁
↦ D. Bent
68′
A. Weimann 🔁
↦ C. Bryson
68′
1–0 M. Vydra
I. Anya
69′
70′
M. Emnes 1–1
D. Graham
73′
D. Graham 1–2
M. Emnes
Cyrus Christie 🟨
77′
T. Ince 🔁
↦ M. Olsson
79′
93′
🔁 D. Lenihan
↦ M. Emnes
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Derby

4-4-2
1 S. Carson G
6 R. Keogh D
16 A. Pearce D
29 M. Olsson D
2 C. Christie D
4 C. Bryson M
18 J. Butterfield M
8 I. Anya M
19 W. Hughes M
11 D. Bent F
23 M. Vydra M
Bench (7)
22 N. Blackman
24 A. Weimann
10 T. Ince
12 C. Baird
15 B. Johnson
30 T. Elšnik
35 J. Mitchell

Coach: N. Pearson

Blackburn

4-4-2
1 J. Steele G
3 G. Greer D
4 T. Hoban D
5 D. Williams D
32 C. Conway M
23 D. Guthrie M
10 B. Marshall M
29 C. Evans M
6 J. Lowe M
17 M. Emnes F
19 S. Gallagher F
Bench (7)
12 D. Graham
26 D. Lenihan
7 L. Feeney
11 M. Samuelsen
21 H. Akpan
33 David Raya
30 W. Brown

Coach: O. Coyle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Madley · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.