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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

AZ Alkmaar

T S S U T

2–4

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,7

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 18/20 matches

Win Ø 50%

39%

60%

Points per game

1,6

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

56%

35%

Both score Ø 56%

67%

45%

Average goals

3,1

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

46% Possession 54%

8 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 8

3 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 8. · PSV Eindhoven 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	20	16	3	1	+42	51
2	Ajax	20	14	4	2	+28	46
3	PSV Eindhoven	20	12	7	1	+21	43
4	Vitesse	21	9	6	6	+7	33
5	Heerenveen	19	9	5	5	+13	32
6	Utrecht	18	8	6	4	+6	30
7	Twente	20	8	6	6	+3	30
8	AZ Alkmaar	18	7	8	3	+8	29
9	Nijmegen	21	6	7	8	-12	25
10	Groningen	19	5	7	7	-1	22
11	Willem II	20	5	7	8	-8	22
12	Heracles	20	5	6	9	-9	21
13	Sparta Rotterdam	20	4	6	10	-9	18
14	Excelsior	20	4	5	11	-15	17
15	Den Haag	21	5	2	14	-21	17
16	Zwolle	20	4	5	11	-23	17
17	Roda	20	2	10	8	-13	16
18	Go Ahead Eagles	21	4	4	13	-17	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	11	9	2	0	+27	29
2	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+16	23
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	3	1	+7	21
4	Heerenveen	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Twente	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Vitesse	10	5	2	3	+4	17
7	Nijmegen	11	4	4	3	+1	16
8	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	5	1	+4	14
9	Utrecht	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Heracles	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Willem II	11	3	4	4	-4	13
12	Sparta Rotterdam	9	3	3	3	+1	12
13	Excelsior	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Go Ahead Eagles	10	3	1	6	-5	10
15	Groningen	9	2	4	3	-6	10
16	Den Haag	10	3	1	6	-6	10
17	Zwolle	11	2	3	6	-13	9
18	Roda	10	1	5	4	-3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+15	22
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	4	0	+14	22
4	Utrecht	9	4	4	1	+4	16
5	Vitesse	11	4	4	3	+3	16
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Heerenveen	10	4	2	4	+6	14
8	Groningen	10	3	3	4	+5	12
9	Twente	10	3	3	4	-3	12
10	Willem II	9	2	3	4	-4	9
11	Nijmegen	10	2	3	5	-13	9
12	Zwolle	9	2	2	5	-10	8
13	Roda	10	1	5	4	-10	8
14	Heracles	10	1	4	5	-10	7
15	Den Haag	11	2	1	8	-15	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	3	7	-10	6
17	Go Ahead Eagles	11	1	3	7	-12	6
18	Excelsior	10	1	2	7	-14	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.